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Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

In Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations, the thermal equilibria quantities are estimated by ensemble average over a sample set containing a large number of correlated samples. These samples are selected in accordance with the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-08 J. Li , P. Vignal , S. Sun , V. M. Calo

In lattice quantum field theory studies, parameters defining the lattice theory must be tuned toward criticality to access continuum physics. Commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods suffer from critical slowing down in this…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-06-04 Gurtej Kanwar

We explore whether splitting and killing methods can improve the accuracy of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimates of rare event probabilities, and we make three contributions. First, we prove that "weighted ensemble" is the only…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Robert J. Webber , David Aristoff , Gideon Simpson

Exponential inequalities are main tools in machine learning theory. To prove exponential inequalities for non i.i.d random variables allows to extend many learning techniques to these variables. Indeed, much work has been done both on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-03 Pierre Alquier , Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

It is known that Dobrushin's ergodicity coefficient is one of the effective tools in the investigations of limiting behavior of Markov processes. Several interesting properties of the ergodicity coefficient of a positive mapping defined on…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Nazife Erkurşun Özcan , Farrukh Mukhamedov

In this paper, we present a methodology to estimate the parameters of stochastically contaminated models under two contamination regimes. In both regimes, we assume that the original process is a variable length Markov chain that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Denise Duarte , Sokol Ndreca , Wecsley O. Prates

In this paper, we consider the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for random sampling of combinatorial objects. The running time of such an algorithm depends on the total mixing time of the underlying Markov chain and is unknown in…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-09-15 Steffen Rechner , Annabell Berger

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

Entropy estimation is a fundamental problem in information theory that has applications in various fields, including physics, biology, and computer science. Estimating the entropy of discrete sequences can be challenging due to limited data…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Juan De Gregorio , David Sanchez , Raul Toral

We prove explicit error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to compute expectations of functions with unbounded stationary variance. We assume that there is a $p\in(1,2)$ so that the functions have finite $L_p$-norm. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

The paper is devoted to the estimation of the rate of of exponential convergence of nonhomogeneous queues exhibiting different types of ergodicity. The main tool of our study is the method, which was proposed by the second author in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Boris L. Granovsky , Aleksandr I. Zeifman

We provide a new estimation method for conditional moment models via the martingale difference divergence (MDD).Our MDD-based estimation method is formed in the framework of a continuum of unconditional moment restrictions. Unlike the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kunyang Song , Feiyu Jiang , Ke Zhu

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in probability theory. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for upward skip-free Markov chains, which include the $L^p$ maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Chen Jia

(This is the third version of a working paper.) We develop a family of self-normalized concentration inequalities for marginal mean under martingale-difference structure and $\phi/\tilde{\phi}$-mixing conditions, where the latter includes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Zihao Yuan

We review recent results on the metastable behavior of continuous-time Markov chains derived through the characterization of Markov chains as unique solutions of martingale problems.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 C. Landim

In this paper we survey some recent results on the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for stationary sequences. We also describe several maximal inequalities that are the main tool for obtaining the invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

This paper proposes and analyzes a mmWave sparse channel estimation technique for OFDM systems that uses the Orthogonal Matching Pursuit (OMP) algorithm. This greedy algorithm retrieves one additional multipath component (MPC) per iteration…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-19 Felipe Gomez-Cuba , Andrea J. Goldsmith

We consider symmetric Markov chains on $\Bbb Z^d$ where we do {\bf not} assume that the conductance between two points must be zero if the points are far apart. Under a uniform second moment condition on the conductances, we obtain upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Richard F. Bass , Takashi Kumagai