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In this paper, we present a backward deep BSDE method applied to Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (FBSDE) with given terminal condition at maturity that time-steps the BSDE backwards. We present an application of this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Yajie Yu , Bernhard Hientzsch , Narayan Ganesan

This paper investigates a class of generalized mean-reflected McKean-Vlasov type backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). Our new framework combines a mean reflection constraint on the solution's expectation with a generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Ruisen Qian

In this paper, we study conditions under which the solutions of a backward stochastic differential equation with jump remains in a given set of constrains. This property is the so-called "viability property". As an application, we study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Xuehong Zhu

Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Yannick Hoga

Throughout this paper, we focused our aim on the problem of optimal control under a risk-sensitive performance functional, where the system is given by a fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equation with jump. The risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Rania Khallout , Adel Chala

In this paper we obtain a comparison theorem for backward stochastic partial differential equation (SPDEs) with jumps. We apply it to introduce space-dependent convex risk measures as a model for risk in large systems of interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-19 Bernt Øksendal , Agnès Sulem , Tusheng Zhang

In this paper, we consider reflected anticipated backward stochastic differential equations (RABSDEs, for short) with an additional resistance in the generators. Firstly, we study the existence and uniqueness results. In Luo (2020), the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Wu Hao

We give an axiomatic framework for conditional generalized deviation measures. Under financially reasonable assumptions, we give the correspondence between conditional coherent risk measures and generalized deviation measures. Moreover, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-21 Guangyan Jia , Mengjin Zhao

Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Peter W. Marcy , Rebecca E. Morrison

Continued interest in sustainable investing calls for an axiomatic approach to measures of risk and reward that focus not only on financial returns, but also on measures of environmental and social sustainability, i.e. environmental,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-19 Gabriele Torri , Rosella Giacometti , Darinka Dentcheva , Svetlozar T. Rachev , W. Brent Lindquist

We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-18 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Stefan Reimann

Many modern products exhibit high reliability, often resulting in long times to failure. Consequently, conducting experiments under normal operating conditions may require an impractically long duration to obtain sufficient failure data for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 María Jaenada , Juan Manuel Millán , Leandro Pardo

A new class of integer-valued autoregressive models with dynamic survival probability is proposed. The peculiarity of this class of models lies on the specification of the survival probability through a stochastic recurrence equation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-08 Paolo Gorgi

In this paper, we consider a stochastic decision problem for a system governed by a stochastic differential equation, in which an optimal decision is made in such a way to minimize a vector-valued accumulated cost over a finite-time horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Getachew K. Befekadu

This paper shows that penalized backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), which is often used to approximate and solve the corresponding reflected BSDE, admits both optimal stopping representation and optimal control representation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Gechun Liang

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) offer powerful and accessible mathematical models for capturing both deterministic and probabilistic aspects of dynamic behavior across a wide range of physical, financial, and social systems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Paromita Banerjee , Anirban Mondal

We introduce a new regression method that relates the mean of an outcome variable to covariates, under the "adverse condition" that a distress variable falls in its tail. This allows to tailor classical mean regressions to adverse…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

This paper is concerned with a Stackelberg game of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), where the coefficients of the backward system and the cost functionals are deterministic, and the control domain is convex. Necessary and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Yueyang Zheng , Jingtao Shi

We consider a reflected backward stochastic differential equations with default time and an optional barrier in a filtration generated by a one-dimensional Brownian motion and a defaultable process. We suppose that the barrier have…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Badr Elmansouri , Mohamed El Otmani

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira