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Adjusting for an unmeasured confounder is generally an intractable problem, but in the spatial setting it may be possible under certain conditions. In this paper, we derive necessary conditions on the coherence between the treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Yawen Guan , Garritt L. Page , Brian J Reich , Massimo Ventrucci , Shu Yang

Epidemiologists commonly use regional aggregates of health outcomes to map mortality or incidence rates and identify geographic disparities. However, to detect health disparities across regions, it is necessary to identify "difference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Luca Aiello , Sudipto Banerjee

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

Understanding the complex nature of spatial information is crucial for problem solving in social and environmental sciences. This study investigates how the underlying patterns of spatial data can significantly influence the outcomes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Peng Luo , Yongze Song , Wenwen Li , Liqiu Meng

Small area estimation has become an important tool in official statistics, used to construct estimates of population quantities for domains with small sample sizes. Typical area-level models function as a type of heteroscedastic regression,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

Although spatial models for areal data are widely used in multilevel settings, the conditions under which spatial and nonspatial random effects yield equivalent posterior inference for regression coefficients have never been formally…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Shuqi Lin , Joshua L. Warren

Treatment effects in a wide range of economic, environmental, and epidemiological applications often vary across space, and understanding the heterogeneity of causal effects across space and outcome quantiles is a critical challenge in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yan Gong , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Raphaël Huser

Due to spatial dependence -- often characterized as complex and non-linear -- model misspecification is a prevalent and critical issue in spatial data analysis and prediction. As the data, and thus model performance, is heterogeneous,…

Accurate modeling of spatial dependence is pivotal in analyzing spatial data, influencing parameter estimation and predictions. The spatial structure of the data significantly impacts valid statistical inference. Existing models for areal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Lucas da Cunha Godoy , Marcos Oliveira Prates , Jun Yan

We address the problem of inferring the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome across space, using observational data. The data is possibly subject to unmeasured confounding variables which, in a standard approach, must be adjusted for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Researchers in urban and regional studies increasingly deal with spatial data that reflects geographic location and spatial relationships. As a framework for dealing with the unique nature of spatial data, various spatial regression models…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Michael Balzer

The study of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured spatially varying confounders has garnered increasing attention. However, a general framework for identifiability, which is critical for reliable causal inference from observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Tommy Tang , Xinran Li , Bo Li

Regional aggregates of health outcomes over delineated administrative units (e.g., states, counties, zip codes), or areal units, are widely used by epidemiologists to map mortality or incidence rates and capture geographic variation. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Leiwen Gao , Sudipto Banerjee , Beate Ritz

Uncertainty is an inherent characteristic of biological and geospatial data which is almost made by measurement error in the observed values of the quantity of interest. Ignoring measurement error can lead to biased estimates and inflated…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-16 Vahid Tadayon

When outcome data are expensive or onerous to collect, scientists increasingly substitute predictions from machine learning and AI models for unlabeled cases, a process which has consequences for downstream statistical inference. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Stephen Salerno , Zhenke Wu , Tyler McCormick

Whereas confidence intervals are used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured individuals, confounding intervals can be used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured attributes. Previously, we have introduced a methodology for computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Brian Knaeble , R Mitchell Hughes

Due to the increase in data availability in urban and regional studies, various spatial panel models have emerged to model spatial panel data, which exhibit spatial patterns and spatial dependencies between observations across time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Michael Balzer , Adhen Benlahlou

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

Interval-valued data receives much attention due to its wide applications in the fields of finance, econometrics, meteorology and medicine. However, most regression models developed for interval-valued data assume observations are mutually…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-31 Tingting Huang

Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff