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In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

In Internet of things (IoT), data is continuously recorded from different data sources and devices can suffer faults in their embedded electronics, thus leading to a high-dimensional data sets and concept drift events. Therefore, methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Hugo Vinicius Bitencourt , Frederico Gadelha Guimarães

Multivariate time series forecasting is critical in many real-world systems, and thus modeling cross-channel dependencies is essential. Although existing methods improve overall accuracy by enhancing representations and cross-channel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Fan Zhang , Shiming Fan , Hua Wang

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is essential for the development of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), supporting tasks such as traffic signal optimization, congestion management, and route planning. Traditional models often fail…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Zhuo Zheng , Lingran Meng , Ziyu Lin

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

Climate change stands as one of the most pressing global challenges of the twenty-first century, with far-reaching consequences such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and increasingly extreme weather patterns. Accurate forecasting is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Tajamul Ashraf , Janibul Bashir

Most current multivariate time series (MTS) classification algorithms focus on improving the predictive accuracy. However, for large-scale (either high-dimensional or long-sequential) time series (TS) datasets, there is an additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Yuqing Wang , Yun Zhao , Linda Petzold

Clustering temporal and dynamically changing multivariate time series from real-world fields, called temporal clustering for short, has been a major challenge due to inherent complexities. Although several deep temporal clustering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Zhi Wang , Yanni Li , Pingping Zheng , Yiyuan Jiao

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is crucial for disaster preparedness and mitigation. While recent deep learning approaches have shown promise, existing methods often treat TC evolution as a series of independent frame-to-frame…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Zhibo Ren , Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla

Accurate forecasting of long-term time series has important applications for decision making and planning. However, it remains challenging to capture the long-term dependencies in time series data. To better extract long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Feifei Li , Suhan Guo , Feng Han , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

Spectral clustering has emerged as one of the most effective clustering algorithms due to its superior performance. However, most existing models are designed for centralized settings, rendering them inapplicable in modern decentralized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Suyan Dai , Gan Sun , Fazeng Li , Xu Tang , Qianqian Wang , Yang Cong

Forecasting load in power transmission networks is essential across various hierarchical levels, from the system level down to individual points of delivery (PoD). While intuitive and locally accurate, traditional local forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Amirhossein Ahmadi , Hamidreza Zareipour , Henry Leung

Multivariate Time series forecasting is crucial in domains such as transportation, meteorology, and finance, especially for predicting extreme weather events. State-of-the-art methods predominantly rely on Transformer architectures, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Li Wu , Wenbin Pei , Jiulong Jiao , Qiang Zhang

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

Long-term weather forecasting is critical for socioeconomic planning and disaster preparedness. While recent approaches employ finetuning to extend prediction horizons, they remain constrained by the issues of catastrophic forgetting, error…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Fenghua Ling , Lei Bai

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

Online updating of time series forecasting models aims to address the concept drifting problem by efficiently updating forecasting models based on streaming data. Many algorithms are designed for online time series forecasting, with some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Yi-Fan Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Weiqi Chen , Liang Sun , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Rong Jin , Tieniu Tan
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