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Joint pedestrian trajectory prediction has long grappled with the inherent unpredictability of human behaviors. Recent investigations employing variants of conditional diffusion models in trajectory prediction have exhibited notable…
Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…
Variable selection in high-dimensional space characterizes many contemporary problems in scientific discovery and decision making. Many frequently-used techniques are based on independence screening; examples include correlation ranking…
This paper is concerned with false discovery rate (FDR) control in large-scale multiple testing problems. We first propose a new data-driven testing procedure for controlling the FDR in large-scale t-tests for one-sample mean problem. The…
Stability and reproducibility are essential considerations in various applications of statistical methods. False Discovery Rate (FDR) control methods are able to control false signals in scientific discoveries. However, many FDR control…
Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…
Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for…
Feature selection aims to identify the most pattern-discriminative feature subset. In prior literature, filter (e.g., backward elimination) and embedded (e.g., Lasso) methods have hyperparameters (e.g., top-K, score thresholding) and tie to…
Simultaneously performing variable selection and inference in high-dimensional models is an open challenge in statistics and machine learning. The increasing availability of vast amounts of variables requires the adoption of specific…
In recent years, there has been an ever increasing amount of multivariate time series (MTS) data in various domains, typically generated by a large family of sensors such as wearable devices. This has led to the development of novel…
The classical vector autoregressive model is a fundamental tool for multivariate time series analysis. However, it involves too many parameters when the number of time series and lag order are even moderately large. This paper proposes to…
Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…
We present a novel algorithm for generating robust and consistent hypotheses for multiple-structure model fitting. Most of the existing methods utilize random sampling which produce varying results especially when outlier ratio is high. For…
Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is widely adopted for causal inference under intervention determined by a continuous variable. While one is interested in treatment effect heterogeneity by subgroups in many applications, RDD typically…
This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…
Varying coefficient models have numerous applications in a wide scope of scientific areas. While enjoying nice interpretability, they also allow flexibility in modeling dynamic impacts of the covariates. But, in the new era of big data, it…
Fall risk prediction among hospitalized patients is a critical aspect of patient safety in clinical settings, and accurate models can help prevent adverse events. The Hester Davis Score (HDS) is commonly used to assess fall risk, with…
We consider the segmentation of set of correlated time-series, the correlation being allowed to take an arbitrary form but being the same at each time-position. We show that encoding the dependency in a factor model enables us to use the…
High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…
The factor graph decentralized data fusion (FG-DDF) framework was developed for the analysis and exploitation of conditional independence in {heterogeneous Bayesian decentralized fusion problems, in which robots update and fuse pdfs over…