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We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

An attractor of a piecewise-smooth continuous system of differential equations can bifurcate from a stable equilibrium to a more complicated invariant set when it collides with a switching manifold under parameter variation. Here numerical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-24 D. J. W. Simpson

We consider the problem of causal discovery (structure learning) from heterogeneous observational data. Most existing methods assume a homogeneous sampling scheme, which leads to misleading conclusions when violated in many applications. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Yang Ni

We analyse universal statistical properties of phase shifts and time delays for open chaotic systems in the crossover regime of partly broken time-reversal invariance. In particular, we find that the distribution of the time delay shows…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Yan V. Fyodorov , Dmitry V. Savin , H. -J. Sommers

The destruction of a chaotic attractor leading to rough changes in the dynamics of a dynamical system is studied. Local bifurcations are characterised by a single or a pair of characteristic exponents crossing the imaginary axis. The…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-11-16 Alexis Tantet , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit , Henk A. Dijkstra

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Clustering of urban traffic patterns is an essential task in many different areas of traffic management and planning. In this paper, two significant applications in the clustering of urban traffic patterns are described. The first…

Causal effects are often characterized with population summaries. These might provide an incomplete picture when there are heterogeneous treatment effects across subgroups. Since the subgroup structure is typically unknown, it is more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Edward H. Kennedy

The symmetry of chaotic systems plays a pivotal role in determining the universality class of spectral statistics and dynamical behaviors, which can be described within the framework of random matrix theory. Understanding the influence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-08 Fuxing Chen , Ping Fang

Causal discovery from time series data is a typical problem setting across the sciences. Often, multiple datasets of the same system variables are available, for instance, time series of river runoff from different catchments. The local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-23 Wiebke Günther , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

Identifying ``true causality'' is a fundamental challenge in complex systems research. Widely adopted methods, like the Granger causality test, capture statistical dependencies between variables rather than genuine driver-response…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Yingzhu Liu , Shengyuan Huang , Zhongkui Li , Xiaoguang Yang , Wenjun Mei

We study the universal fluctuations of the Wigner-Smith time delay for systems which exhibit chaotic dynamics in their classical limit. We present a new derivation of the semiclassical relation of the quantum time delay to properties of the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 R. O. Vallejos , A. M. Ozorio de Almeida , C. H. Lewenkopf

A chaotic attractor is usually characterised by its multifractal spectrum which gives a geometric measure of its complexity. Here we present a characterisation using a minimal set of independant parameters which are uniquely determined by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-01-22 K P Harikrishnan , R Misra , G Ambika , R E Amritkar

We uncover and characterize different chaotic transport scenarios on perfect periodic surfaces by controlling the chaotic dynamics of particles subjected to periodic external forces in the absence of a ratchet effect. After identifying…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-03-26 R. Chacon , A. M. Lacasta

Early and accurate detection of anomalies in time series data is critical, given the significant risks associated with false or missed detections. While MLP-based mixer models have shown promise in time series analysis, they lack a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Md Mahmuddun Nabi Murad , Yasin Yilmaz

As the parameters of a map are varied an attractor may vary continuously in the Hausdorff metric. The purpose of this paper is to explore the continuation of chaotic attractors. We argue that this is not a helpful concept for smooth…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Paul A. Glendinning , David J. W. Simpson

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

We consider an autonomous system constructed as modification of the logistic differential equation with delay that generates successive trains of oscillations with phases evolving according to chaotic maps. The system contains two feedback…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-04-17 D. S. Arzhanukhina , S. P. Kuznetsov

A semiclassical diagrammatic approach is constructed for calculating correlation functions of observables in open chaotic systems with time reversal symmetry. The results are expressed in terms of classical correlation functions involving…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Oded Agam

Real-world problems, for example in climate applications, often require causal reasoning on spatially gridded time series data or data with comparable structure. While the underlying system is often believed to behave similarly at different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Martin Rabel , Jakob Runge
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