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Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

We present coarse-to-fine autoregressive networks (C2FAR), a method for modeling the probability distribution of univariate, numeric random variables. C2FAR generates a hierarchical, coarse-to-fine discretization of a variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Shane Bergsma , Timothy Zeyl , Javad Rahimipour Anaraki , Lei Guo

Predictive thermodynamic models are crucial for the early stages of product and process design. In this paper the performance of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) embedded into a relatively simple excess Gibbs energy model, the extended Margules…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Edgar Ivan Sanchez Medina , Kai Sundmacher

Gaussian process regression is a machine learning approach which has been shown its power for estimation of unknown functions. However, Gaussian processes suffer from high computational complexity, as in a basic form they scale cubically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Danil Kuzin , Le Yang , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In many web applications, deep learning-based CTR prediction models (deep CTR models for short) are widely adopted. Traditional deep CTR models learn patterns in a static manner, i.e., the network parameters are the same across all the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Bencheng Yan , Pengjie Wang , Kai Zhang , Feng Li , Hongbo Deng , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng

This study delves into the application of graph neural networks in the realm of traffic forecasting, a crucial facet of intelligent transportation systems. Accurate traffic predictions are vital for functions like trip planning, traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Razib Hayat Khan , Jonayet Miah , S M Yasir Arafat , M M Mahbubul Syeed , Duc M Ca

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been successfully adopted in recommender systems by virtue of the message-passing that implicitly captures collaborative effect. Nevertheless, most of the existing message-passing mechanisms for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Yu Wang , Yuying Zhao , Yi Zhang , Tyler Derr

Solving the optimal power flow (OPF) problem in real-time electricity market improves the efficiency and reliability in the integration of low-carbon energy resources into the power grids. To address the scalability and adaptivity issues of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Shaohui Liu , Chengyang Wu , Hao Zhu

This study evaluates the efficacy of two machine learning (ML) techniques, namely artificial neural networks (ANN) and gene expression programming (GEP) that use data-driven modeling to predict wall pressure spectra (WPS) underneath…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-27 Nachiketa Narayan Kurhade , Nagabhushana Rao Vadlamani , Akash Haridas

Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) modelling is widely employed in materials science to predict properties of interest and extract useful descriptors for measured properties. In thermal barrier coatings (TBC), QSAR can…

The rise of generative artificial intelligence (AI) has facilitated automated product design but often neglects valuable consumer preference data within companies' internal datasets. Additionally, external sources such as social media and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-22 Hui Li , Jian Ni , Fangzhu Yang

Power transformers are subjected to electrical currents and temperature fluctuations that, if not properly controlled, can lead to major deterioration of their insulation system. Therefore, monitoring the temperature of a power transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Francis Tembo , Federica Bragone , Tor Laneryd , Matthieu Barreau , Kateryna Morozovska

The importance of considering related stocks data for the prediction of stock price movement has been shown in many studies, however, advanced graphical techniques for modeling, embedding and analyzing the behavior of interrelated stocks…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-01 Alireza Jafari , Saman Haratizadeh

This paper proposes a novel approach using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to solve the AC Power Flow problem in power grids. AC OPF is essential for minimizing generation costs while meeting the operational constraints of the grid.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-11 Seyedamirhossein Talebi , Kaixiong Zhou

The integration of renewable energy into electricity markets poses significant challenges to price stability and increases the complexity of market operations. Accurate and reliable electricity price forecasting is crucial for effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Roberto Rossi , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Accurate time series forecasting is essential in many real-time applications that demand both high predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. This study provides an empirical comparison between a Polynomial Classifier and a Radial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Thanh Son Nguyen , Dang Minh Duc Nguyen , Van Thanh Nguyen

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that are well suited to forecasting and sequence classification. They have been applied extensively to forecasting univariate financial time series, however…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 Matthew F Dixon

This study addresses the computational challenges of forecasting volatility in high-dimensional commodity markets. Building on the Network log-ARCH framework, we introduce a novel class of network topologies from GARCH-informed correlation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Fayçal Djebari , Kahina Mehidi , Khelifa Mazouz , Philipp Otto
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