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With the recent interest in net-zero sustainability for commercial buildings, integration of photovoltaic (PV) assets becomes even more important. This integration remains a challenge due to high solar variability and uncertainty in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Chaitanya Poolla , Abraham K. Ishihara

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Electrical energy production based on wind power has become the most popular renewable resources in the recent years because it gets reliable clean energy with minimum cost. The major challenge for wind turbines is the electrical and the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-25 Saad Chakkor , Mostafa Baghouri , Abderrahmane Hajraoui

Renewable Energies (RES) penetration is progressing rapidly: in France, the installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) power rose from 26MW in 2007 to 8GW in 2017 [1]. Power generated by PV plants being highly dependent on variable weather…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Kevin Bellinguer , Robin Girard , Guillaume Bontron , Georges Kariniotakis

Radiation is typically the most time-consuming physical process in numerical models. One solution is to use machine learning methods to simulate the radiation process to improve computational efficiency. From an operational standpoint, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hao Jing , Sa Xiao , Haoyu Li , Huadong Xiao , Wei Xue

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman , Chris N. Hill

We introduce a universal diffusion-based downscaling framework that lifts deterministic low-resolution weather forecasts into probabilistic high-resolution predictions without any model-specific fine-tuning. A single conditional diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Roberto Molinaro , Niall Siegenheim , Henry Martin , Mark Frey , Niels Poulsen , Philipp Seitz , Marvin Vincent Gabler

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model capable of providing an ensemble of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary forecast length and ensemble size. The model uses a stretched grid, dedicating 2.5 km…

We suggest a new methodology for designing robust energy systems. For this, we investigate so-called near-optimal solutions to energy system optimisation models; solutions whose objective values deviate only marginally from the optimum.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Fred Espen Benth , Marianne Zeyringer

Real-time optimal power flow (RT-OPF) under wind energy penetration is highly desired but extremely difficult to realize. This is basically due to the conflict between the fast changes in wind power generation and the slow response from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Erfan Mohagheghi , Aouss Gabash , Pu Li

Online decision-making in the presence of uncertain future information is abundant in many problem domains. In the critical problem of energy generation scheduling for microgrids, one needs to decide when to switch energy supply between a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-20 Ali Menati , Sid Chi-Kin Chau , Minghua Chen

To achieve ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in time, the planning of future energy systems needs to accommodate societal preferences, e.g. low levels of acceptance for transmission expansion or onshore wind turbines, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

Wind energy forecasting helps to manage power production, and hence, reduces energy cost. Deep Neural Networks (DNN) mimics hierarchical learning in the human brain and thus possesses hierarchical, distributed, and multi-task learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-01 Asifullah Khan , Aneela Zameer , Tauseef Jamal , Ahmad Raza

Electricity generation from burning fossil fuels is one of the major contributors to global warming. Renewable energy sources are a viable alternative to produce electrical energy and to reduce the emission from the power industry. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Md Amimul Ehsan

To address the environmental concern and improve the economic efficiency, the wind power is rapidly integrated into smart grids. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind energy raises operational challenges. To ensure the cost-efficient,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Yuan Yi , Zhi Zhou , Keqi Wang

With the rising costs of conventional sources of energy, the world is moving towards sustainable energy sources including wind energy. Wind turbines consist of several electrical and mechanical components and experience an enormous amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Joyjit Chatterjee , Nina Dethlefs