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We present a compartmentalized approach to finding the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) estimate of a latent time series that obeys a dynamic stochastic model and is observed through noisy measurements. We specifically consider modern signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Demba Ba , Todd P. Coleman

A linear Gaussian state-space smoothing algorithm is presented for estimation of derivatives from a sequence of noisy measurements. The algorithm uses numerically stable square-root formulas, can handle simultaneous independent measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Robert Piche

We develop a new method for frequentist multiple testing with Bayesian prior information. Our procedure finds a new set of optimal p-value weights called the Bayes weights. Prior information is relevant to many multiple testing problems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Edgar Dobriban , Kristen Fortney , Stuart K. Kim , Art B. Owen

We design a new myopic strategy for a wide class of sequential design of experiment (DOE) problems, where the goal is to collect data in order to to fulfil a certain problem specific goal. Our approach, Myopic Posterior Sampling (MPS), is…

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) is transforming power systems into complex, decentralized networks, particularly at the distribution level, where active distribution networks (ADNs) introduce new challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 J. G. De la Varga , J. M. Morales , S. Pineda

Maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) estimation is the main Bayesian estimation methodology in imaging sciences, where high dimensionality is often addressed by using Bayesian models that are log-concave and whose posterior mode can be computed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Marcelo Pereyra

Bayesian and frequentist inference are two fundamental paradigms in statistical estimation. Bayesian methods treat hypotheses as random variables, incorporating priors and updating beliefs via Bayes' theorem, whereas frequentist methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Sarthak Mittal , Yoshua Bengio , Nikolay Malkin , Guillaume Lajoie

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

3D microscopy is key in the investigation of diverse biological systems, and the ever increasing availability of large datasets demands automatic cell identification methods that not only are accurate, but also can imply the uncertainty in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Alvaro Gomariz , Tiziano Portenier , César Nombela-Arrieta , Orcun Goksel

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

In semantic segmentation, the accuracy of models heavily depends on the high-quality annotations. However, in many practical scenarios, such as medical imaging and remote sensing, obtaining true annotations is not straightforward and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Ryu Tadokoro , Tsukasa Takagi , Shin-ichi Maeda

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

We consider a Bayesian approach to model selection in Gaussian linear regression, where the number of predictors might be much larger than the number of observations. From a frequentist view, the proposed procedure results in the penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

The problem of the definition and the estimation of generative models based on deformable templates from raw data is of particular importance for modelling non aligned data affected by various types of geometrical variability. This is…

Computation · Statistics 2009-01-16 Stéphanie Allassonnière , Estelle Kuhn , Alain Trouvé

The Bayesian approach has proved to be a coherent approach to handle ill posed Inverse problems. However, the Bayesian calculations need either an optimization or an integral calculation. The maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation requires…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

In this paper, Bayesian parameter estimation through the consideration of the Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) criterion is revisited under the prism of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. By incorporating a sparsity-promoting penalty…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-06 Rodrigo Carvajal , Juan C. Agüero , Boris I. Godoy , Dimitrios Katselis