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We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

We study the inverse problem of estimating a field $u$ from data comprising a finite set of nonlinear functionals of $u$, subject to additive noise; we denote this observed data by $y$. Our interest is in the reconstruction of piecewise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Matthew M. Dunlop , Andrew M. Stuart

To take sample biases and skewness in the observations into account, practitioners frequently weight their observations according to some marginal distribution. The present paper demonstrates that such weighting can indeed improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-05 Tobias Niebuhr , Mathias Trabs

Descriptive statistics for parametric models are currently highly sensative to departures, gross errors, and/or random errors. Here, leveraging the structures of parametric distributions and their central moment kernel distributions, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Li Tuobang

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong

Information theoretic quantities are extremely useful in discovering relationships between two or more data sets. One popular method---particularly for continuous systems---for estimating these quantities is the nearest neighbour…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-19 Joshua Brown , Terry Bossomaier , Lionel Barnett

We describe a four-level hierarchy mapping both all discrete estimation problems and all estimators on these problems, such that the hierarchy describes each estimator's consistency guarantees on each problem class. We show that no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Michael Brand , Thomas Hendrey

Current recommender systems largely focus on static, unstructured content. In many scenarios, we would like to recommend content that has structure, such as a trajectory of points-of-interests in a city, or a playlist of songs. Dubbed…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-06-29 Dawei Chen , Lexing Xie , Aditya Krishna Menon , Cheng Soon Ong

In most classification tasks there are observations that are ambiguous and therefore difficult to correctly label. Set-valued classifiers output sets of plausible labels rather than a single label, thereby giving a more appropriate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Mauricio Sadinle , Jing Lei , Larry Wasserman

Random samples are lossy summaries which allow queries posed over the data to be approximated by applying an appropriate estimator to the sample. The effectiveness of sampling, however, hinges on estimator selection. The choice of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Edith Cohen

Automated model selection is an important application in science and engineering. In this work, we develop a learning approach for identifying structured dynamical systems from undersampled and noisy spatiotemporal data. The learning is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Xiaofan Lu , Linan Zhang , Hongjin He

Structured sparse optimization is an important and challenging problem for analyzing high-dimensional data in a variety of applications such as bioinformatics, medical imaging, social networks, and astronomy. Although a number of structured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Baojian Zhou , Feng Chen

We consider a sensor scheduling and remote estimation problem with one sensor and one estimator. At each time step, the sensor makes an observation on the state of a source, and then decides whether to transmit its observation to the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-02 Xiaobin Gao , Emrah Akyol , Tamer Basar

We consider two recent suggestions for how to perform an empirically motivated Monte Carlo study to help select a treatment effect estimator under unconfoundedness. We show theoretically that neither is likely to be informative except under…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-18 Arun Advani , Toru Kitagawa , Tymon Słoczyński

In the field of statistical learning and data analysis, estimating precision matrices (i.e., the inverse of covariance matrices) is a critical task, particularly for understanding dependency structures among variables. However, traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Zhongfeng Qin , Hao Xu , Wenhao Cui , Wan Tian

The best empirical research in political science clearly defines substantive parameters of interest, presents a set of assumptions that guarantee its identification, and uses an appropriate estimator. We argue for the importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Nathan Canen , Kristopher Ramsay

A standard assumption in machine learning is the exchangeability of data, which is equivalent to assuming that the examples are generated from the same probability distribution independently. This paper is devoted to testing the assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-29 Valentina Fedorova , Alex Gammerman , Ilia Nouretdinov , Vladimir Vovk

We propose a novel approach to the problem of mutual information (MI) estimation via introducing a family of estimators based on normalizing flows. The estimator maps original data to the target distribution, for which MI is easier to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ivan Butakov , Alexander Tolmachev , Sofia Malanchuk , Anna Neopryatnaya , Alexey Frolov
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