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Exact upper bounds on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a random variable in terms of its first two moments are given. Such results are needed in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics. As another…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

We introduce two new concepts designed for the study of empirical processes. First, we introduce a new Orlicz norm which we call the Bernstein-Orlicz norm. This new norm interpolates sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential tail behavior. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Sara van de Geer , Johannes Lederer

We establish new lower bounds for the normal approximation in the Wasserstein distance of random variables that are functionals of a Poisson measure. Our results generalize previous findings by Nourdin and Peccati (2012, 2015) and Bierm\'e,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Giovanni Peccati

This paper is concerned with minimax conditional independence testing. In contrast to some previous works on the topic, which use the total variation distance to separate the null from the alternative, here we use the Wasserstein distance.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Matey Neykov , Larry Wasserman , Ilmun Kim , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

The goal of this paper is to establish relative perturbation bounds, tailored for empirical covariance operators. Our main results are expansions for empirical eigenvalues and spectral projectors, leading to concentration inequalities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Moritz Jirak , Martin Wahl

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

We derive Berry-Esseen approximation bounds for general functionals of independent random variables, based on chaos expansions methods. Our results apply to $U$-statistics satisfying the weak assumption of decomposability in the Hoeffding…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

Systematically simulating specular light transport requires an exhaustive search for primitive tuples containing admissible paths. Given the extreme inefficiency of enumerating all combinations, we propose to significantly reduce the search…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Zhimin Fan , Chen Wang , Yiming Wang , Boxuan Li , Yuxuan Guo , Ling-Qi Yan , Yanwen Guo , Jie Guo

Estimation of the complete distribution of a random variable is a useful primitive for both manual and automated decision making. This problem has received extensive attention in the i.i.d. setting, but the arbitrary data dependent setting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-01 Paul Mineiro , Steven R. Howard

We consider estimating the shared mean of a sequence of heavy-tailed random variables taking values in a Banach space. In particular, we revisit and extend a simple truncation-based mean estimator first proposed by Catoni and Giulini. While…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Justin Whitehouse , Ben Chugg , Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

Considering two random variables with different laws to which we only have access through finite size iid samples, we address how to reweight the first sample so that its empirical distribution converges towards the true law of the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Julien Reygner , Adrien Touboul

New Berry--Esseen-type bounds, with explicit constant factors, for the distribution of the Student statistic and, equivalently, for that of the self-normalized sum of independent zero-mean random variables are obtained. These bounds are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Iosif Pinelis

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

We revisit the classic problem of aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts, also known as the Naive Bayes setting. Our quantity of interest is the error probability of the optimal decision rule. In the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Aryeh Kontorovich , Ariel Avital

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

A nonparametric variant of the Kiefer--Weiss problem is proposed and investigated. In analogy to the classical Kiefer--Weiss problem, the objective is to minimize the maximum expected sample size of a sequential test. However, instead of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

Causal inference from observational data is crucial for many disciplines such as medicine and economics. However, sharp bounds for causal effects under relaxations of the unconfoundedness assumption (causal sensitivity analysis) are subject…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

A general device is proposed, which provides for extension of exponential inequalities for sums of independent real-valued random variables to those for martingales in the 2-smooth Banach spaces. This is used to obtain optimum bounds of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Iosif Pinelis

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling