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California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

Background: Reliable prediction of clinical progression over time can improve the outcomes of depression. Little work has been done integrating various risk factors for depression, to determine the combinations of factors with the greatest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Runa Bhaumik , Jonathan Stange

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Employee's knowledge is an organization asset. Turnover may impose apparent and hidden costs and irreparable damages. To overcome and mitigate this risk, employee's condition should be monitored. Due to high complexity of analyzing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Mahyar Karimi , Kamyar Seyedkazem Viliyani

Historically, the economic recession often came abruptly and disastrously. For instance, during the 2008 financial crisis, the SP 500 fell 46 percent from October 2007 to March 2009. If we could detect the signals of the crisis earlier, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-15 Yue Chen , Xingyi Andrew , Salintip Supasanya

This paper presents our approach to the first Multimodal Personality-Aware Depression Detection Challenge, focusing on multimodal depression detection using machine learning and deep learning models. We explore and compare the performance…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Javier Si Zhao Hong , Timothy Zoe Delaya , Sherwyn Chan Yin Kit , Pai Chet Ng , Xiaoxiao Miao

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a significant mental health challenge that affects individuals exposed to traumatic events. Early detection and effective intervention for PTSD are crucial, as it can lead to long-term psychological…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Ayesha Siddiqua , Atib Mohammad Oni , Abu Saleh Musa Miah , Jungpil Shin

Creating accurate predictions in the stock market has always been a significant challenge in finance. With the rise of machine learning as the next level in the forecasting area, this research paper compares four machine learning models and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Albert Wong , Steven Whang , Emilio Sagre , Niha Sachin , Gustavo Dutra , Yew-Wei Lim , Gaetan Hains , Youry Khmelevsky , Frank Zhang

Predicting Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) region is crucial for the effective management of its fragile ecosystems. This study provides a rigorous comparative analysis of several machine learning techniques to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-26 Dennis Quayesam , Jacob Akubire , Oliveira Darkwah

Artificial intelligence is reshaping labor markets, yet we lack tools to systematically forecast its effects on employment. This paper introduces a benchmark for evaluating how well large language models (LLMs) can anticipate changes in job…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Sheri Osborn , Rohit Valecha , H. Raghav Rao , Dan Sass , Anthony Rios

I develop Macroeconomic Random Forest (MRF), an algorithm adapting the canonical Machine Learning (ML) tool to flexibly model evolving parameters in a linear macro equation. Its main output, Generalized Time-Varying Parameters (GTVPs), is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-08 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Burnout is a psychological syndrome marked by emotional exhaustion, depersonalization, and reduced personal accomplishment, with a significant impact on individual well-being and organizational performance. This study proposes a machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Bruno W. G. Teodosio , Mário J. O. T. Lira , Pedro H. M. Araújo , Lucas R. C. Farias

The US stock market experienced instability following the recession (2007-2009). COVID-19 poses a significant challenge to US stock traders and investors. Traders and investors should keep up with the stock market. This is to mitigate risks…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-07 Reza Nematirad , Amin Ahmadisharaf , Ali Lashgari

Rising global energy demand from population growth raises concerns about the sustainability of fossil fuels. Consequently, the energy sector has increasingly transitioned to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, which are naturally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Afsaneh Mollasalehi , Armin Farhadi

This research addresses the critical lack of comprehensive studies on feature scaling by systematically evaluating 12 scaling techniques - including several less common transformations - across 14 different Machine Learning algorithms and…

Nyman and Ormerod (2017) show that the machine learning technique of random forests has the potential to give early warning of recessions. Applying the approach to a small set of financial variables and replicating as far as possible a…

General Economics · Economics 2020-01-08 Rickard Nyman , Paul Ormerod

Credit ratings are one of the primary keys that reflect the level of riskiness and reliability of corporations to meet their financial obligations. Rating agencies tend to take extended periods of time to provide new ratings and update…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Parisa Golbayani , Ionuţ Florescu , Rupak Chatterjee