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Measure-valued Markov chains have raised interest in Bayesian nonparametrics since the seminal paper by (Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 105 (1989) 579--585) where a Markov chain having the law of the Dirichlet process as unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Stephen G. Walker

This paper introduces and studies a new class of nonparametric prior distributions. Random probability distribution functions are constructed via normalization of random measures driven by increasing additive processes. In particular, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prunster , Stephen G. Walker

We argue for the use of separate exchangeability as a modeling principle in Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) inference. Separate exchangeability is de facto widely applied in the Bayesian parametric case, e.g., it naturally arises in simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Giovanni Rebaudo , Qiaohui Lin , Peter Mueller

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

Probabilistic models based on continuous latent spaces, such as variational autoencoders, can be understood as uncountable mixture models where components depend continuously on the latent code. They have proven to be expressive tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Gennaro Gala , Erik Quaeghebeur , Cassio de Campos , Robert Peharz

Suppose we observe an infinite series of coin flips $X_1,X_2,\ldots$, and wish to sequentially test the null that these binary random variables are exchangeable. Nonnegative supermartingales (NSMs) are a workhorse of sequential inference,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

In this letter, we consider a 3D molecular communication via diffusion system (MCvDS) with a single point transmitter and multiple fully-absorbing spherical receivers whose centers are distributed as a Poisson point process (PPP) in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Nithin V. Sabu , Abhishek K. Gupta

Our main result is to prove almost-sure convergence of a stochastic-approximation algorithm defined on the space of measures on a non-compact space. Our motivation is to apply this result to measure-valued P\'olya processes (MVPPs, also…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Cécile Mailler , Denis Villemonais

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

We consider an array of random variables, taking values in a complete and separable metric space, that exhibits a kind of symmetry which we call row exchangeability. Given such an array, a natural model for Bayesian nonparametric inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Evan Donald , Jason Swanson

In the analysis of machine learning models, it is often convenient to assume that the parameters are IID. This assumption is not satisfied when the parameters are updated through training processes such as SGD. A relaxation of the IID…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Russell Tsuchida , Fred Roosta , Marcus Gallagher

Probabilistic finite mixture models are widely used for unsupervised clustering. These models can often be improved by adapting them to the topology of the data. For instance, in order to classify spatially adjacent data points similarly,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jonathan Vacher , Claire Launay , Ruben Coen-Cagli

This article constructs a class of random probability measures based on exponentially and polynomially tilting operated on the laws of completely random measures. The class is proved to be conjugate in that it covers both prior and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 John W. Lau

Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models have been increasingly employed to specify random partition models that take into account possible patterns within the covariates. Furthermore, to deal with large numbers of covariates, methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-01 William Barcella , Maria De Iorio , Gianluca Baio

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for decision-making in the presence of uncertainty. The conventional view of MDPs in verification treats them as state transformers with probabilities defined over sequences of states and…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Yun Chen Tsai , Kittiphon Phalakarn , S. Akshay , Ichiro Hasuo

Measure Differential Equations (MDE) describe the evolution of probability measures driven by probability velocity fields, i.e. probability measures on the tangent bundle. They are, on one side, a measure-theoretic generalization of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Fabio Camilli , Giulia Cavagnari , Raul De Maio , Benedetto Piccoli

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

The experimentally measured multiplicity distributions exhibit, after closer inspection, peculiarly enhanced void probability and oscillatory behavior of the modified combinants. We show that both these features can be used as additional…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-05 M. Rybczynski , Z. Wlodarczyk , G. Wilk

This paper is the first part of a project devoted to studying the interconnection between controllability properties of a dynamical system and the large-time asymptotics of trajectories for the associated stochastic system. It is proved…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-03-07 Armen Shirikyan