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Traditional approaches to financial asset allocation start with returns forecasting followed by an optimization stage that decides the optimal asset weights. Any errors made during the forecasting step reduce the accuracy of the asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-08 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

This study explores the use of Transformer-based models to predict both covariance and semi-covariance matrices for ETF portfolio optimization. Traditional portfolio optimization techniques often rely on static covariance estimates or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Jiahao Zhu , Hengzhi Wu

Stock market prediction presents considerable challenges for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers operating in complex market environments characterized by noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Stock price forecasting has remained an extremely challenging problem for many decades due to the high volatility of the stock market. Recent efforts have been devoted to modeling complex stock correlations toward joint stock price…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Tong Li , Zhaoyang Liu , Yanyan Shen , Xue Wang , Haokun Chen , Sen Huang

While Transformers have achieved remarkable success in LLMs through superior scalability, their application in industrial-scale ranking models remains nascent, hindered by the challenges of high feature sparsity and low label density. In…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Chunqi Wang , Bingchao Wu , Taotian Pang , Jiahao Wang , Jie Yang , Jia Liu , Hao Zhang , Hai Zhu , Lei Shen , Shizhun Wang , Bing Wang , Xiaoyi Zeng

Events such as the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 or the COVID-19 pandemic caused significant losses to banks and insurance entities. They also demonstrated the importance of using accurate equity risk models and having a risk management…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-28 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

Stock selection, which aims to predict stock prices and identify the most profitable ones, is a crucial task in finance. While existing methods primarily focus on developing model structures and building graphs for improved selection,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Mengyu Wang , Tiejun Ma , Shay B. Cohen

This study investigates the pretrained RNN attention models with the mainstream attention mechanisms such as additive attention, Luong's three attentions, global self-attention (Self-att) and sliding window sparse attention (Sparse-att) for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Shanyan Lai

The primary objective of this research is to build a Momentum Transformer that is expected to outperform benchmark time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies. We extend the ideas introduced in the paper Trading with the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Max Mason , Waasi A Jagirdar , David Huang , Rahul Murugan

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

In recent fast-paced financial markets, investors constantly seek ways to gain an edge and make informed decisions. Although achieving perfect accuracy in stock price predictions remains elusive, artificial intelligence (AI) advancements…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Jue Xiao , Tingting Deng , Shuochen Bi

Applying deep learning and computational intelligence to finance has been a popular area of applied research, both within academia and industry, and continues to attract active attention. The inherently high volatility and non-stationary of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Michael Charles Albada , Mojolaoluwa Joshua Sonola

Due to the excessive cost of large-scale language model pre-training, considerable efforts have been made to train BERT progressively -- start from an inferior but low-cost model and gradually grow the model to increase the computational…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Xiaotao Gu , Liyuan Liu , Hongkun Yu , Jing Li , Chen Chen , Jiawei Han

As the Chinese stock market continues to evolve and its market structure grows increasingly complex, traditional quantitative trading methods are facing escalating challenges. Particularly, due to policy uncertainty and the frequent market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Bohan Ma , Yushan Xue , Yuan Lu , Jing Chen

Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) represents the latest incarnation of pretrained language models which have recently advanced a wide range of natural language processing tasks. In this paper, we showcase how…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Yang Liu , Mirella Lapata

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

In this paper, we tackle the challenge of predicting stock movements in financial markets by introducing Higher Order Transformers, a novel architecture designed for processing multivariate time-series data. We extend the self-attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Soroush Omranpour , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

Environmental monitoring is crucial to our understanding of climate change, biodiversity loss and pollution. The availability of large-scale spatio-temporal data from sources such as sensors and satellites allows us to develop sophisticated…

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram
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