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Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

Under extreme operating conditions, characterized by high particle multiplicity and heavily overlapping shower energy deposits, classical particle flow algorithms encounter pronounced limitations in resolution, efficiency, and accuracy. To…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-05-13 Yu Wang , Yangguang Zhang , Shengxiang Lin , Xingyi Zhang , Han Zhang

The design of microfluidic devices is a cumbersome and tedious process that can be significantly improved by simulation. Methods based on Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) are considered state-of-the-art, but require extensive compute time…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Michel Takken , Robert Wille

In the realm of practical fine-grained visual classification applications rooted in deep learning, a common scenario involves training a model using a pre-existing dataset. Subsequently, a new dataset becomes available, prompting the desire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Zheming Zuo , Joseph Smith , Jonathan Stonehouse , Boguslaw Obara

Data-driven methods have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities in fluid mechanics, yet most current applications still focus on simplified configurations, often characterised by statistical stationarity or limited temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-21 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

Decision-focused learning (DFL) has emerged as a powerful end-to-end alternative to conventional predict-then-optimize (PTO) pipelines by directly optimizing predictive models through downstream decision losses. Existing DFL frameworks are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Xinyu Wang , Jinxiao Du , Yiyang Peng , Wei Ma

Accurately, efficiently, and stably computing complex fluid flows and their evolution near solid boundaries over long horizons remains challenging. Conventional numerical solvers require fine grids and small time steps to resolve near-wall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Chenglin Li , Hang Xu , Jianting Chen , Yanfei Zhang

Federated Learning (FL) is a popular distributed learning paradigm to break down data silo. Traditional FL approaches largely rely on gradient-based updates, facing significant issues about heterogeneity, scalability, convergence, and…

Data-driven methods are emerging as efficient alternatives to traditional numerical forecasting, offering fast inference and lower computational cost. Yet, for complex systems, long-term accuracy often deteriorates due to error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Hao Zhou , Sibo Cheng

Machine learning models are gaining increasing popularity in the domain of fluid dynamics for their potential to accelerate the production of high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics data. However, many recently proposed machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Dule Shu , Zijie Li , Amir Barati Farimani

Deep learning has shown impressive results in a variety of time series forecasting tasks, where modeling the conditional distribution of the future given the past is the essence. However, when this conditional distribution is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Siqi Liu , Andreas Lehrmann

Computationally efficient and accurate simulations of the flow over axisymmetric bodies of revolution (ABR) has been an important desideratum for engineering design. In this article the flow field over an ABR is predicted using machine…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-16 J P Panda , H V Warrior

Efficient and robust anisotropic mesh adaptation is crucial for Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations. The CFD Vision 2030 Study highlights the pressing need for this technology, particularly for simulations targeting…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Christos Tsolakis , Nikos Chrisochoides

Accurate and robust trajectory prediction of neighboring agents is critical for autonomous vehicles traversing in complex scenes. Most methods proposed in recent years are deep learning-based due to their strength in encoding complex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Yujun Jiao , Mingze Miao , Zhishuai Yin , Chunyuan Lei , Xu Zhu , Linzhen Nie , Bo Tao

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of viscous fluids described by the Navier-Stokes equations are considered. Depending on the Reynolds number of the flow, the Navier-Stokes equations may exhibit a highly nonlinear behavior. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Anouk Zandbergen , Tycho van Noorden , Alexander Heinlein

Time series forecasting can be viewed as a generative problem that requires both semantic understanding over contextual conditions and stochastic modeling of continuous temporal dynamics. Existing approaches typically rely on either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yaguo Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Daoyu Wang , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu

Adaptive Computing is an application-agnostic outer loop framework to strategically deploy simulations and experiments to guide decision making for scale-up analysis. Resources are allocated over successive batches, which makes the…