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Epidemic models are invaluable tools to understand and implement strategies to control the spread of infectious diseases, as well as to inform public health policies and resource allocation. However, current modeling approaches have…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Compartmental epidemiological models categorize individuals based on their disease status, such as the SEIRD model (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Dead). These models determine the parameters that influence the magnitude of an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Alejandro Rodríguez-Arias , Amparo Alonso-Betanzos , Bertha Guijarro-Berdiñas , Noelia Sánchez-Marroño

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has emerged as a powerful tool in social policy-making and socio-economics, offering a flexible and dynamic approach to understanding and simulating complex systems. While traditional analytic methods may be less…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Shayan Firouzian Haji

This study investigates the spatial integration of agent-based models (ABMs) and compartmental models for infectious disease modeling, presenting a novel hybrid approach and examining its implications. ABMs offer detailed insights by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-06 Inan Bostanci , Tim Conrad

In response to the ongoing pandemic and health emergency of COVID-19, several models have been used to understand the dynamics of virus spread. Some employ mathematical models like the compartmental SEIHRD approach and others rely on…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Raunak Sarbajna , Karima Elgarroussi , Hoang D Vo , Jianyuan Ni , Christoph F. Eick

The paper develops a stochastic Agent-Based Model (ABM) mimicking the spread of infectious diseases in geographical domains. The model is designed to simulate the spatiotemporal spread of SARS-CoV2 disease, known as COVID-19. Our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-28 Masoud Jalayer , Carlotta Orsenigo , Carlo Vercellis

Agent-based modelling (ABM) is a widespread approach to simulate complex systems. Advancements in computational processing and storage have facilitated the adoption of ABMs across many fields; however, ABMs face challenges that limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 M Lopes Alves , Joel Dyer , Doyne Farmer , Michael Wooldridge , Anisoara Calinescu

Agent-based epidemic models (ABMs) encode behavioral and policy heterogeneity but are too slow for nightly hospital planning. We develop county-ready surrogates that learn directly from exascale ABM trajectories using Universal Differential…

This paper proposes a data-driven approximate Bayesian computation framework for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification of epidemic models, which incorporates two novelties: (i) the identification of the initial conditions by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-28 Americo Cunha , David A. W. Barton , Thiago G. Ritto

Agent-based model (ABM) has been widely used to study infectious disease transmission by simulating behaviors and interactions of autonomous individuals called agents. In the ABM, agent states, for example infected or susceptible, are…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Seungha Um , Samrachana Adhikari

Understanding dynamics of an outbreak like that of COVID-19 is important in designing effective control measures. This study aims to develop an agent based model that compares changes in infection progression by manipulating different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Anik Burman , Sayak Chatterjee , Pramit Ghosh , Indranil Mukhokadhyay

Agent-Based Models (ABM) are computational scenario-generators, which can be used to predict the possible future outcomes of the complex system they represent. To better understand the robustness of these predictions, it is necessary to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-08 Karl Naumann-Woleske , Max Sina Knicker , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Emerging infectious diseases and climate change are two of the major challenges in 21st century. Although over the past decades, highly-resolved mathematical models have contributed in understanding dynamics of infectious diseases and are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-13 Julia Bicker , René Schmieding , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Martin J. Kühn

Agent-Based Models (ABMs) are often used to model migration and are increasingly used to simulate individual migrant decision-making and unfolding events through a sequence of heuristic if-then rules. However, ABMs lack the methods to embed…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-09 Peter Strong , Alys McAlpine , Jim Q Smith

The COVID-19 pandemic due to the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has directly impacted the public health and economy worldwide. To overcome this problem, countries have adopted different policies and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling…

LLM-based agents have demonstrated strong potential for autonomous machine learning, yet their applicability to health data remains limited. Existing systems often struggle to generalize across heterogeneous health data modalities, rely…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Tong Xia , Weibin Li , Gang Liu , Yong Li

We introduce DeepABM, a framework for agent-based modeling that leverages geometric message passing of graph neural networks for simulating action and interactions over large agent populations. Using DeepABM allows scaling simulations to…

Infectious epidemics can be simulated by employing dynamical processes as interactions on network structures. Here, we introduce techniques from the Multi-Agent System (MAS) domain in order to account for individual level characterization…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-05 Simone Azeglio , Matteo Fordiani

This paper presents a hybrid modeling approach that couples an Agent-Based Model (ABM) with a partial differential equation (PDE) model in an epidemic setting to simulate the spatial spread of infectious diseases using a compartmental…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Kristina Kehrer , Tim O. F. Conrad