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The rare type match problem is an evaluative challenging situation in which the analysis of a DNA profile reveals the presence of (at least) one allele which is not contained in the reference database. This situation is challenging because…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-16 Giulia Cereda , Richard D. Gill , Franco Taroni

Bayesian methods are appealing in their flexibility in modeling complex data and ability in capturing uncertainty in parameters. However, when Bayes' rule does not result in tractable closed-form, most approximate inference algorithms lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-09 Bo Dai , Niao He , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

A probabilistic technique for the joint estimation of background and sources with the aim of detecting faint and extended celestial objects is described. Bayesian probability theory is applied to gain insight into the coexistence of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 F. Guglielmetti , R. Fischer , V. Dose

Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

While observational data are routinely used to estimate causal effects of biomedical treatments, doing so requires special methods to adjust for observed confounding. These methods invariably rely on untestable statistical and causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Arman Oganisian

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

One formulation of forensic identification of source problems is to determine the source of trace evidence, for instance, glass fragments found on a suspect for a crime. The current state of the science is to compute a Bayes factor (BF)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Jonathan P Williams , Danica M Ommen , Jan Hannig

In many practices, scientists are particularly interested in detecting which of the predictors are truly associated with a multivariate response. It is more accurate to model multiple responses as one vector rather than separating each…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Xiaotian Dai , Guifang Fu , Randall Reese , Shaofei Zhao , Zuofeng Shang

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

Some methods aim to correct or test for relationships or to reconstruct the pedigree, or family tree. We show that these methods cannot resolve ties for correct relationships due to identifiability of the pedigree likelihood which is the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-29 B. Kirkpatrick

Finite mixture model is an important branch of clustering methods and can be applied on data sets with mixed types of variables. However, challenges exist in its applications. First, it typically relies on the EM algorithm which could be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Shu Wang , Jonathan G. Yabes , Chung-Chou H. Chang

In this dissertation, we develop nonparametric Bayesian models for biomedical data analysis. In particular, we focus on inference for tumor heterogeneity and inference for missing data. First, we present a Bayesian feature allocation model…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Tianjian Zhou

Throughout the different phases of a drug development program, randomized trials are used to establish the tolerability, safety, and efficacy of a candidate drug. At each stage one aims to optimize the design of future studies by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-08 Sebastian Weber , Andrew Gelman , Daniel Lee , Michael Betancourt , Aki Vehtari , Amy Racine

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

We exploit a suitable moment-based characterization of the mixture of Poisson distribution for developing Bayesian inference for the unknown size of a finite population whose units are subject to multiple occurrences during an enumeration…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Danilo Alunni Fegatelli , Luca Tardella

Stochastic reaction network models are often used to explain and predict the dynamics of gene regulation in single cells. These models usually involve several parameters, such as the kinetic rates of chemical reactions, that are not…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-07 Thomas A. Catanach , Huy D. Vo , Brian Munsky

In this paper, distributed Bayesian detection problems with unknown prior probabilities of hypotheses are considered. The sensors obtain observations which are conditionally dependent across sensors and their probability density functions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-09-20 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

Research on nearest-neighbor methods tends to focus somewhat dichotomously either on the statistical or the computational aspects -- either on, say, Bayes consistency and rates of convergence or on techniques for speeding up the proximity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Klim Efremenko , Aryeh Kontorovich , Moshe Noivirt

Bayesian inference provides a natural framework for updating knowledge as new information becomes available, often in a sequential manner by incorporating datasets in stages or reusing previous posteriors as priors. In practice, this is…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-05-22 Lipei Du

Many complex diseases are known to be affected by the interactions between genetic variants and environmental exposures beyond the main genetic and environmental effects. Study of gene-environment (G$\times$E) interactions is important for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Jie Ren , Fei Zhou , Xiaoxi Li , Qi Chen , Hongmei Zhang , Shuangge Ma , Yu Jiang , Cen Wu