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Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

We establish a connection between dependence structures and subclasses of distortion riskmetrics under which the latter are additive. A new notion of positive dependence, called partial comonotonicity, is developed, which nests the existing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Muqiao Huang

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mikhail Isaev , Igor Rodionov , Rui-Ray Zhang , Maksim Zhukovskii

In this paper, we develop a general theory on the coverage probability of random intervals defined in terms of discrete random variables with continuous parameter spaces. The theory shows that the minimum coverage probabilities of random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-12 Xinjia Chen

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Shai Gorsky , Li Ma

We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Kilani Ghoudi , Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

Distance correlation is a novel class of multivariate dependence measure, taking positive values between 0 and 1, and applicable to random vectors of arbitrary dimensions, not necessarily equal. It offers several advantages over the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-06 Blanca E. Monroy-Castillo , M. A , Jácome , Ricardo Cao

Conditional-independence-based discovery uses statistical tests to identify a graphical model that represents the independence structure of variables in a dataset. These tests, however, can be unreliable, and algorithms are sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Philipp M. Faller , Dominik Janzing

We consider the problem of conditional independence testing of $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$ where $X,Y$ and $Z$ are three real random variables and $Z$ is continuous. We focus on two main cases - when $X$ and $Y$ are both discrete, and when $X$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-05 Matey Neykov , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

In two-way contingency tables under an asymmetric situation, where the row and column variables are defined as explanatory and response variables, respectively, quantifying the extent to which the explanatory variable contributes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Wataru Urasaki , Kouji Tahata , Sadao Tomizawa

In this article, we show that the recently introduced ordinal pattern dependence fits into the axiomatic framework of general multivariate dependence measures, i.e., measures of dependence between two multivariate random objects.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling , Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

This paper discusses the statistical inference problem associated with testing for dependence between two continuous random variables using Kendall's $\tau$ in the context of the missing data problem. We prove the worst-case identified set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Oliver R. Cutbill , Rami V. Tabri

The aim of this thesis is to find a solution to the non-parametric independence problem in separable metric spaces. Suppose we are given finite collection of samples from an i.i.d. sequence of paired random elements, where each marginal has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Martin Emil Jakobsen

We introduce two novel non-parametric statistical hypothesis tests. The first test, called the relative test of dependency, enables us to determine whether one source variable is significantly more dependent on a first target variable or a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Wacha Bounliphone , Eugene Belilovsky , Arthur Tenenhaus , Ioannis Antonoglou , Arthur Gretton , Matthew B. Blashcko