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We introduce a new dependence order, termed the conditional convex order, whose minimal and maximal elements characterize independence and perfect dependence. Moreover, it characterizes conditional independence, satisfies information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Jonathan Ansari , Sebastian Fuchs

Under the null hypothesis, the marginal probability of the positive response is symmetric at any specified correlated coefficient, and the discordance probability is also symmetric to the positive response probability. The marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Guanghui Huang

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

Simple correlation coefficients between two variables have been generalized to measure association between two matrices in many ways. Coefficients such as the RV coefficient, the distance covariance (dCov) coefficient and kernel based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-19 Julie Josse , Susan Holmes

Multiple correlation is a fundamental concept with broad applications. The classical multiple correlation coefficient is developed to assess how strongly a dependent variable is associated with a linear combination of independent variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Kai Yang , Yuhong Zhou , Wei Xu , Kirsten Beyer

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

Conformal prediction is a powerful distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. Classical methods, such as split conformal prediction, provide marginal coverage, ensuring that the prediction set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Konstantina Bairaktari , Jiayun Wu , Zhiwei Steven Wu

In this paper we study different concepts of independence for convex sets of probabilities. There will be two basic ideas for independence. The first is irrelevance. Two variables are independent when a change on the knowledge about one…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Luis M. de Campos , Serafin Moral

Detecting dependence between two random variables is a fundamental problem. Although the Pearson correlation is effective for capturing linear dependency, it can be entirely powerless for detecting nonlinear and/or heteroscedastic patterns.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-21 Xufei Wang , Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

Motivated by the importance of measuring the association between the response and predictors in high dimensional data, In this article, we propose a new mean variance test of independence between a categorical random variable and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-01 Hengjian Cui , Wei Zhong

Bergsma (2006) proposed a covariance $\kappa$(X,Y) between random variables X and Y. He derived their asymptotic distributions under the null hypothesis of independence between X and Y. The non-null (dependent) case does not seem to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Divya Kappara , Arup Bose , Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee

We investigate the relative information content of six measures of dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ for large or extreme events for several models of interest for financial time series. The six measures of dependence are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Conformal prediction is a theoretically grounded framework for constructing predictive intervals. We study conformal prediction with missing values in the covariates -- a setting that brings new challenges to uncertainty quantification. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Julie Josse , Yaniv Romano

A possible drawback of the ordinary correlation coefficient $\rho$ for two real random variables $X$ and $Y$ is that zero correlation does not imply independence. In this paper we introduce a new correlation coefficient $\rho^*$ which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wicher P. Bergsma

We consider a linear regression model and propose an omnibus test to simultaneously check the assumption of independence between the error and the predictor variables, and the goodness-of-fit of the parametric model. Our approach is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-06 Arnab Sen , Bodhisattva Sen

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

In this paper, a robust non-parametric measure of statistical dependence, or correlation, between two random variables is presented. The proposed coefficient is a permutation-like statistic that quantifies how much the observed sample S_n :…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Rami Mahdi

The most popular ways to test for independence of two ordinal random variables are by means of Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho. However, such tests are not consistent, only having power for alternatives with ``monotonic'' association. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Wicher Bergsma , Angelos Dassios

It is well known that when a pair of random variables is statistically independent, it has no-correlation (zero covariance, $E[XY] - E[X]E[Y] = 0$), and that the converse is not true. However, if both of these random variables take only two…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Toru Ohira

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson
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