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Many real-world applications involve black-box optimization of multiple objectives using continuous function approximations that trade-off accuracy and resource cost of evaluation. For example, in rocket launching research, we need to find…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-24 Syrine Belakaria , Aryan Deshwal , Janardhan Rao Doppa

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

Lifted inference reduces the complexity of inference in relational probabilistic models by identifying groups of constants (or atoms) which behave symmetric to each other. A number of techniques have been proposed in the literature for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Vishal Sharma , Noman Ahmed Sheikh , Happy Mittal , Vibhav Gogate , Parag Singla

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Our article is concerned with adaptive sampling schemes for Bayesian inference that update the proposal densities using previous iterates. We introduce a copula based proposal density which is made more efficient by combining it with…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-26 Ralph Silva , Robert Kohn , Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun

It is well known that the SOM algorithm achieves a clustering of data which can be interpreted as an extension of Principal Component Analysis, because of its topology-preserving property. But the SOM algorithm can only process real-valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Marie Cottrell , Smail Ibbou , Patrick Letrémy

We show that for any multiple-try Metropolis algorithm, one can always accept the proposal and evaluate the importance weight that is needed to correct for the bias without extra computational cost. This results in a general, convenient,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-03 Guanxun Li , Aaron Smith , Quan Zhou

Variational inference is a powerful paradigm for approximate Bayesian inference with a number of appealing properties, including support for model learning and data subsampling. By contrast MCMC methods like Hamiltonian Monte Carlo do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-14 Martin Jankowiak , Du Phan

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

In this paper, we address the challenge of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms within the approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework, which often get trapped in local optima due to their inherent local exploration mechanism. We…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-16 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Bayesian inference for factorial hidden Markov models is challenging due to the exponentially sized latent variable space. Standard Monte Carlo samplers can have difficulties effectively exploring the posterior landscape and are often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-28 Kaspar Märtens , Michalis K Titsias , Christopher Yau

Bayesian optimization (BO) methods choose sample points by optimizing an acquisition function derived from a statistical model of the objective. These acquisition functions are chosen to balance sampling regions with predicted good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Darian Nwankwo , David Bindel

A generalized downlink multi-antenna non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) transmission framework is proposed with the novel concept of cluster-free successive interference cancellation (SIC). In contrast to conventional NOMA approaches,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Xiaoxia Xu , Yuanwei Liu , Xidong Mu , Qimei Chen , Zhiguo Ding

We present a comprehensive comparison of different Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods, evaluating their performance on both standard test problems and cosmological parameter estimation. Our analysis includes traditional…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-28 Denitsa Staicova

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Traditionally, data scientists use exploratory data analysis techniques such as correlation analysis, summary statistics, and regression analysis for identifying the most product enhancements and roadmap planning. However, these…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-06 Adam Gajtkowski , Felipe Moraes

Simulation methods have become important tools for quantifying partisan and racial bias in redistricting plans. We generalize the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm of McCartan and Imai (2023), one of the commonly used approaches.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Philip O'Sullivan , Kosuke Imai , Cory McCartan

The partially observable constrained optimization problems (POCOPs) impede data-driven optimization techniques since an infeasible solution of POCOPs can provide little information about the objective as well as the constraints. We endeavor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Shengbo Wang , Ke Li

We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

Sample efficient learning of manipulation skills poses a major challenge in robotics. While recent approaches demonstrate impressive advances in the type of task that can be addressed and the sensing modalities that can be incorporated,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Adrian Röfer , Iman Nematollahi , Tim Welschehold , Wolfram Burgard , Abhinav Valada