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Probabilistic machine learning models are often insufficient to help with decisions on interventions because those models find correlations - not causal relationships. If observational data is only available and experimentation are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Marios Papamichalis , Abhishek Ray , Ilias Bilionis , Karthik Kannan , Rajiv Krishnamurthy

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Many existing interpretation methods are based on Partial Dependence (PD) functions that, for a pre-trained machine learning model, capture how a subset of the features affects the predictions by averaging over the remaining features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jinyang Liu , Tessa Steensgaard , Marvin N. Wright , Niklas Pfister , Munir Hiabu

Shapley values have several desirable, theoretically well-supported, properties for explaining black-box model predictions. Traditionally, Shapley values are computed post-hoc, leading to additional computational cost at inference time. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Amr Alkhatib , Roman Bresson , Henrik Boström , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Clinical decision making regarding treatments based on personal characteristics leads to effective health improvements. Machine learning (ML) has been the primary concern of diagnosis support according to comprehensive patient information.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Kazuki Nakamura , Ryosuke Kojima , Eiichiro Uchino , Koichi Murashita , Ken Itoh , Shigeyuki Nakaji , Yasushi Okuno

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are popular machine learning models for graphs with many applications across scientific domains. However, GNNs are considered black box models, and it is challenging to understand how the model makes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Selahattin Akkas , Ariful Azad

Multiple regression has been the go-to method for data analysis for generations of scholars due to its transparency, interpretability, and desirable theoretical properties. However, the method's simplicity precludes the discovery of complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Marc Ratkovic , Dustin Tingley

Shapley values underlie one of the most popular model-agnostic methods within explainable artificial intelligence. These values are designed to attribute the difference between a model's prediction and an average baseline to the different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Tom Heskes , Evi Sijben , Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen

The acquisition of labels for supervised learning can be expensive. To improve the sample efficiency of neural network regression, we study active learning methods that adaptively select batches of unlabeled data for labeling. We present a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 David Holzmüller , Viktor Zaverkin , Johannes Kästner , Ingo Steinwart

An important goal of environmental health research is to assess the risk posed by mixtures of environmental exposures. Two popular classes of models for mixtures analyses are response-surface methods and exposure-index methods.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Glen McGee , Ander Wilson , Thomas F. Webster , Brent A. Coull

The quality of generalized linear models (GLMs), frequently used by insurance companies, depends on the choice of interacting variables. The search for interactions is time-consuming, especially for data sets with a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Yevhen Havrylenko , Julia Heger

Random Forests (RF) are at the cutting edge of supervised machine learning in terms of prediction performance, especially in genomics. Iterative Random Forests (iRF) use a tree ensemble from iteratively modified RF to obtain predictive and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Merle Behr , Yu Wang , Xiao Li , Bin Yu

The SHAP (short for Shapley additive explanation) framework has become an essential tool for attributing importance to variables in predictive tasks. In model-agnostic settings, SHAP uses the concept of Shapley values from cooperative game…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-12 Justin Whitehouse , Ayush Sawarni , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A full parametric and linear specification may be insufficient to capture complicated patterns in studies exploring complex features, such as those investigating age-related changes in brain functional abilities. Alternatively, a partially…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jia Liang , Shuo Chen , Peter Kochunov , L Elliot Hong , Chixiang Chen

Shapley values are among the most popular tools for explaining predictions of blackbox machine learning models. However, their high computational cost motivates the use of sampling approximations, inducing a considerable degree of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-11 Jeremy Goldwasser , Giles Hooker

Shapley values, a gold standard for feature attribution in Explainable AI, face two key challenges. First, the canonical Shapley framework assumes that the worth function is additive, yet real-world payoff constructions--driven by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jialai She

Mathematical modelling is a widely used approach to understand and interpret clinical trial data. This modelling typically involves fitting mechanistic mathematical models to data from individual trial participants. Despite the widespread…

Building a machine learning solution in real-life applications often involves the decomposition of the problem into multiple models of various complexity. This has advantages in terms of overall performance, better interpretability of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Bashar Awwad Shiekh Hasan , Kate Kelly

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

A number of techniques have been proposed to explain a machine learning model's prediction by attributing it to the corresponding input features. Popular among these are techniques that apply the Shapley value method from cooperative game…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Luke Merrick , Ankur Taly