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The use of synthetic data to deidentify data and to improve predictive models is well-attested to. The augmentation of datasets using synthetically generated data is an alluring proposition: in the best case, it generates realistic data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Reid Dale , Jordan Rodu , Mike Baiocchi

We present a new estimator for causal effects with panel data that builds on insights behind the widely used difference in differences and synthetic control methods. Relative to these methods we find, both theoretically and empirically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Susan Athey , David A. Hirshberg , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

Multiscale techniques have been widely shown to potentially overcome the limitation of homogenization schemes in representing the microscopic failure mechanisms in heterogeneous media as well as their influence on their structural response…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Fabrizio Greco , Lorenzo Leonetti , Paolo Lonetti , Raimondo Luciano , Andrea Pranno

This paper reinterprets the Synthetic Control (SC) framework through the lens of weighting philosophy, arguing that the contrast between traditional SC and Difference-in-Differences (DID) reflects two distinct modeling mindsets: sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Le Wang , Xin Xing , Youhui Ye

As an alternative to synthetic control, the distributional Synthetic Control (DSC) proposed by Gunsilius (2023) provides estimates for quantile treatment effect and thus enabling researchers to comprehensively understand the impact of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Lu Zhang , Xiaomeng Zhang , Xinyu Zhang

Causal machine learning has the potential to revolutionize decision-making by combining the predictive power of machine learning algorithms with the theory of causal inference. However, these methods remain underutilized by the broader…

Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

This paper investigates the problem of adjusting for spatial effects in genomic prediction. Despite being seldomly considered in genomic prediction, spatial effects often affect phenotypic measurements of plants. We consider a Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-09 Xiaojun Mao , Somak Dutta , Raymond K. W. Wong , Dan Nettleton

The development of algorithms for enhancing the resilience and efficiency of the power grid requires performance evaluation with real topologies of power transmission networks. However, due to security reasons, such topologies and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-20 Saleh Soltan , Gil Zussman

Post-earthquake hazard and impact estimation are critical for effective disaster response, yet current approaches face significant limitations. Traditional models employ fixed parameters regardless of geographical context, misrepresenting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Runyu Gao , Susu Xu

Synthetic datasets are widely used in many applications, such as missing data imputation, examining non-stationary scenarios, in simulations, training data-driven models, and analyzing system robustness. Typically, synthetic data are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Ofek Aloni , Gal Perelman , Barak Fishbain

The hybrid approach to experimental design aims to control frequentist operating characteristics of Bayesian decision procedures. These operating characteristics are assessed by simulating sampling distributions of posterior summaries under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Luke Hagar , James M. McGree

We develop a Bayesian model-based approach to finite population estimation accounting for spatial dependence. Our innovation here is a framework that achieves inference for finite population quantities in spatial process settings. A key…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-22 Alec M. Chan-Golston , Sudipto Banerjee , Mark S. Handcock

Geostatistical seismic inversion is commonly used to infer the spatial distribution of the subsurface petro-elastic properties by perturbing the model parameter space through iterative stochastic sequential simulations/co-simulations. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-19 Leonardo Azevedo , Vasily Demyanov

An effective characterization of chaotic conservative Hamiltonian systems in terms of the curvature associated with a Riemannian metric tensor derived from the structure of the Hamiltonian has been extended to a wide class of potential…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-18 Yossi Ben Zion , Lawrence Horwitz

Women are at higher risk of Alzheimer's and other neurological diseases after menopause, and yet research connecting female brain health to sex hormone fluctuations is limited. We seek to investigate this connection by developing tools that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Adele Myers , Caitlin Taylor , Emily Jacobs , Nina Miolane

The tests of the deviations from Newton's or Einstein's gravity in the Earth neighbourhood are tied to our knowledge of the shape and mass distribution of our planet. On the one hand estimators of these "modified" theories of gravity may be…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-12-05 Joel Bergé , Philippe Brax , Martin Pernot-Borràs , Jean-Philippe Uzan

Machine learning applications are becoming increasingly pervasive in our society. Since these decision-making systems rely on data-driven learning, risk is that they will systematically spread the bias embedded in data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-09 Alessandro Castelnovo , Riccardo Crupi , Nicole Inverardi , Daniele Regoli , Andrea Cosentini

When forecasting time series with a hierarchical structure, the existing state of the art is to forecast each time series independently, and, in a post-treatment step, to reconcile the time series in a way that respects the hierarchy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Konstantin Mishchenko , Mallory Montgomery , Federico Vaggi

The increasing applications of autonomous driving systems necessitates large-scale, high-quality datasets to ensure robust performance across diverse scenarios. Synthetic data has emerged as a viable solution to augment real-world datasets…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Enes Özeren , Arka Bhowmick
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