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Quantifying influence in networks is important across science, economics, and public health, yet widely used centrality measures remain limited: they rely on static representations, heuristic network constructions, and purely endogenous…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Didier Sornette , Yishan Luo , Sandro Claudio Lera

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yinghao Chen , Shandian Zhe , Bin Shen

Modelling and forecasting the occurrence of extreme events is especially difficult when the event process is nonstationary, with changes in both the rate at which extremes occur and the magnitude of the extremes when they occur. We approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Gordon J. Ross , Dean Markwick

Event data consisting of time of occurrence of the events arises in several real-world applications. Recent works have introduced neural network based point processes for modeling event-times, and were shown to provide state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Manisha Dubey , Ragja Palakkadavath , P. K. Srijith

Exponential growth in Electronic Healthcare Records (EHR) has resulted in new opportunities and urgent needs for discovery of meaningful data-driven representations and patterns of diseases in Computational Phenotyping research. Deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-14 Zhengping Che , Sanjay Purushotham , Robinder Khemani , Yan Liu

Event-related potential (ERP), a specialized paradigm of electroencephalographic (EEG), reflects neurological responses to external stimuli or events, generally associated with the brain's processing of specific cognitive tasks. ERP plays a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yihe Wang , Zhiqiao Kang , Bohan Chen , Yu Zhang , Xiang Zhang

We estimate the general influence functions for spatio-temporal Hawkes processes using a tensor recovery approach by formulating the location dependent influence function that captures the influence of historical events as a tensor kernel.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Heejune Sheen , Xiaonan Zhu , Yao Xie

Spatio-temporal point processes (STPPs) model discrete events distributed in time and space, with important applications in areas such as criminology, seismology, epidemiology, and social networks. Traditional models often rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiuyuan Cheng , Zheng Dong , Yao Xie

In this paper, we design a nonparametric online algorithm for estimating the triggering functions of multivariate Hawkes processes. Unlike parametric estimation, where evolutionary dynamics can be exploited for fast computation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-26 Yingxiang Yang , Jalal Etesami , Niao He , Negar Kiyavash

This review examines theoretical assumptions and computational models of event comprehension, tracing the evolution from discourse comprehension theories to contemporary event cognition frameworks. The review covers key discourse…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Tan T. Nguyen

Multivariate Hawkes processes are a widely used class of self-exciting point processes, but maximum likelihood estimation naively scales as $O(N^2)$ in the number of events. The canonical linear exponential Hawkes process admits a faster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ahmer Raza , Hudson Smith

Recent works in pathological speech analysis have increasingly relied on powerful self-supervised speech representations, leading to promising results. However, the complex, black-box nature of these embeddings and the limited research on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 David Gimeno-Gómez , Catarina Botelho , Anna Pompili , Alberto Abad , Carlos-D. Martínez-Hinarejos

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process for modeling self-excitation, i.e., when the occurrence of an event makes future events more likely to occur. The corresponding self-triggering function of this type of process may be inferred…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-01 Rafael Lima , Jaesik Choi

Electronic health records (EHRs) include simple features like patient age together with more complex data like care history that are informative but not easily represented as individual features. To better harness such data, we developed an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Jacqueline K. Kueper , Jennifer Rayner , Daniel J. Lizotte

In this paper, we address the problem of fitting multivariate Hawkes processes to potentially large-scale data in a setting where series of events are not only mutually-exciting but can also exhibit inhibitive patterns. We focus on…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-19 Remi Lemonnier , Nicolas Vayatis

Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Hongyuan Mei , Jason Eisner

Existing spatio-temporal Hawkes process models typically rely on either parametric or semiparametric assumptions, limiting the model's ability to capture complex endogenous and exogenous event dynamics. We propose a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Wenqing Liu , Xenia Miscouridou , Déborah Sulem

Deep Learning based models are currently dominating most state-of-the-art solutions for disease prediction. Existing works employ RNNs along with multiple levels of attention mechanisms to provide interpretability. These deep learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-01 Subhadip Maji , Raghav Bali , Sree Harsha Ankem , Kishore V Ayyadevara

Deep-learning-based clinical decision support using structured electronic health records (EHR) has been an active research area for predicting risks of mortality and diseases. Meanwhile, large amounts of narrative clinical notes provide…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Weimin Lyu , Xinyu Dong , Rachel Wong , Songzhu Zheng , Kayley Abell-Hart , Fusheng Wang , Chao Chen