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Multi-type birth-death processes underlie approaches for inferring evolutionary dynamics from phylogenetic trees across biological scales, ranging from deep-time species macroevolution to rapid viral evolution and somatic cellular…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-02 William S. DeWitt , Steven N. Evans , Ella Hiesmayr , Sebastian Hummel

Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

A particular continuous-time multitype branching process is considered, it is the continuous-time embedding of a discrete-time process which is very popular in theoretical computer science: the m-ary search tree (m is an integer). There is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-02 Brigitte Chauvin , Quansheng Liu , Nicolas Pouyanne

We consider a supercritical branching process and define a contact tracing mechanism on its genealogical tree. We calculate the growth rate of the post tracing process, and give conditions under which the tracing is strong enough to drive…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 M. T. Barlow

If we follow an asexually reproducing population through time, then the amount of time that has passed since the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of all current individuals lived will change as time progresses. The resulting "MRCA age"…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph

This paper is a collection of recent results on discrete-time and continuous-time branching random walks. Some results are new and others are known. Many aspects of this theory are considered: local, global and strong local survival, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We consider the critical branching processes in correlated random environment which is positively associated and study the probability of survival up to the n-th generation. Moreover, when the environment is given by fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Xinxin Chen , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

We derive some Quantum Central Limit Theorems for expectation values of macroscopically coarse-grained observables, which are functions of coarse-grained hermitean operators. Thanks to the hermicity constraints, we obtain positive-definite…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-06 Tien D. Kieu

Highly-diverse ecosystems exhibit a broad distribution of population sizes and species turnover, where species at high and low abundances are exchanged over time. We show that these two features generically emerge in the fluctuating phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-09 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey , Guy Bunin

The long-term behaviors of flows of continuous-state branching processes are characterized through subordinators and extremal processes. The extremal processes arise in the case of supercritical processes with infinite mean and of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma

We consider the diffusion approximation of branching processes in random environment (BPREs). This diffusion approximation is similar to and mathematically more tractable than BPREs. We obtain the exact asymptotic behavior of the survival…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Christian Böinghoff , Martin Hutzenthaler

We consider a spectrally positive L\'evy process $X$ that does not drift to $+\infty$, viewed as coding for the genealogical structure of a (sub)critical branching process, in the sense of a contour or exploration process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Miraine Dávila Felipe , Amaury Lambert

We study functional limit theorems for linear type processes with short memory under the assumption that the innovations are dependent identically distributed random variables with infinite variance and in the domain of attraction of stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-20 Marta Tyran-Kaminska

The reproduction speed of a continuous-time branching random walk is proportional to a positive parameter $\lambda$. There is a threshold for $\lambda$, which is called $\lambda_w$, that separates almost sure global extinction from global…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Daniela Bertacchi , Cristian F. Coletti , Fabio Zucca

Recent methods have been developed to map single-cell lineage statistics to population growth. Because population growth selects for exponentially rare phenotypes, these methods inherently depend on sampling large deviations from finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-16 Trevor GrandPre , Ethan Levien , Ariel Amir

In this paper we first provide several conditional limit theorems for L\'evy processes with negative drift and regularly varying tail. Then we apply them to study the asymptotic behavior of expectations of some exponential functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Wei Xu

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

We consider the biased random walk on a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive, and confirm that this model with trapping belongs to the same universality class as certain one-dimensional trapping models with slowly-varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-20 David A. Croydon , Alexander Fribergh , Takashi Kumagai
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