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We examine a new commonsense reasoning task: given a narrative describing a social interaction that centers on two protagonists, systems make inferences about the underlying relationship trajectory. Specifically, we propose two evaluation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Keen You , Dan Goldwasser

Generating synthetic financial time series data that accurately reflects real-world market dynamics holds tremendous potential for various applications, including portfolio optimization, risk management, and large scale machine learning. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-05 Chung I Lu , Julian Sester

This paper investigates a model of opinion formation on an adaptive social network, consisting of a system of coupled ordinary differential equations for individuals' opinions and corresponding network edge weights. A key driver of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-04 Andrew Nugent , Carmen Calatayud Fernandez , Susana N. Gomes

Status signaling drives human behavior and the allocation of scarce resources such as mating opportunities, yet the generative mechanisms governing how specific goods, signals, or behaviors acquire prestige remain a puzzle. Classical…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Logan Cross , Jordi Grau-Moya , William A. Cunningham , Alexander Sasha Vezhnevets , Joel Z. Leibo

While modern deep networks have demonstrated remarkable versatility, their training dynamics remain poorly understood--often driven more by empirical tweaks than architectural insight. This paper investigates how internal structural choices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Saleh Nikooroo , Thomas Engel

Recent years have witnessed the increasing interests in research of crowdfunding mechanism. In this area, dynamics tracking is a significant issue but is still under exploration. Existing studies either fit the fluctuations of time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Jun Wang , Hefu Zhang , Qi Liu , Zhen Pan , Hanqing Tao

This study explores the dynamic relationship between corruption and economic growth through an approach based on a system of stochastic equations. In the context of globalization and economic interdependencies, corruption not only affects…

Effective communication often relies on aligning a message with an audience's narrative and worldview. Narrative shift involves transforming text to reflect a different narrative framework while preserving its original core message--a task…

When users can benefit from certain predictive outcomes, they may be prone to act to achieve those outcome, e.g., by strategically modifying their features. The goal in strategic classification is therefore to train predictive models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Guy Horowitz , Nir Rosenfeld

Foreshadowing and payoff are ubiquitous narrative devices through which authors introduce commitments early in a story and resolve them through concrete, observable outcomes. However, despite advances in story generation, large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Longfei Yun , Kun Zhou , Yupeng Hou , Letian Peng , Jingbo Shang

We often associate compound growth with the Anthropocene and our overwhelming economic impacts on the Earth. Today our actual choices for future society appear to lie with studying the class of emergent natural systems that first develop by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Jessie Henshaw

This paper describes a method for creating structure from heterogeneous sources, as part of an information database, or more specifically, a 'concept base'. Structures called 'concept trees' can grow from the semi-structured sources when…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Kieran Greer

In this paper we apply the constructor-theoretic approach to the theory of constructed emotions, showing that core affect valence and knowledge can be considered as two different observables, leading to information or superinformation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Riccardo Franco

Stories interest us not because they are a sequence of mundane and predictable events but because they have drama and tension. Crucial to creating dramatic and exciting stories are surprise and suspense. The thesis trains a series of deep…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-22 David Wilmot

Understanding and replicating human mobility requires not only spatial-temporal accuracy but also an awareness of the cognitive hierarchy underlying real-world travel decisions. Traditional agent-based or deep learning models can reproduce…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Qiumeng Li , Chunhou Ji , Xinyue Liu

How can governments attract entrepreneurs and their businesses? The view that new business creation grows with the optimal level of government investments remains appealing to policymakers. In contrast with this active approach, we build a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-14 Joao Ricardo Faria , Laudo Ogura , Mauricio Prado , Christopher J. Boudreaux

We investigate the extent to which modern, neural language models are susceptible to structural priming, the phenomenon whereby the structure of a sentence makes the same structure more probable in a follow-up sentence. We explore how…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Arabella Sinclair , Jaap Jumelet , Willem Zuidema , Raquel Fernández

Characterising how we verbalise our feelings is central to psychological assessment and intervention, yet the mapping between narrative and affective state remains poorly understood. Across two large studies (n=1257), we parameterised the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jakub Onysk , Quentin J. M. Huys

The macroeconomic climate influences operations with regard to, e.g., raw material prices, financing, supply chain utilization and demand quotas. In order to adapt to the economic environment, decision-makers across the public and private…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

In a sequential decision-making problem, the information structure is the description of how events in the system occurring at different points in time affect each other. Classical models of reinforcement learning (e.g., MDPs, POMDPs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Awni Altabaa , Zhuoran Yang