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The new technologies emerging in the energy sector pose new requirements for both the regulation and operation of the electricity grid. Revised tariff structures and the introduction of local markets are two approaches that could tackle the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Bence Suto , Daniel Divenyi

The transition to net-zero emissions in Europe is determined by a patchwork of country-level and EU-wide policy, creating coordination challenges in an interconnected system. We use an optimisation model to map out near-optimal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-30 Koen van Greevenbroek , Aleksander Grochowicz , Marianne Zeyringer , Fred Espen Benth

In this paper, we explore centralized and more decentral approaches to succeed the energiewende in Germany, in the European context. We use the AnyMOD framework to model a future renewable-based European energy system, based on a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-21 Mario Kendziorski , Leonard Göke , Christian von Hirschhausen , Claudia Kemfert , Elmar Zozmann

In our paper we analyze the relationship between the day-ahead electricity price of the Energy Exchange Austria (EXAA) and other day-ahead electricity prices in Europe. We focus on markets, which settle their prices after the EXAA, which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert , Sven Husmann

Prospective power supply systems based on Renewable Energy Sources require measures to balance power generation and load at all times. The utilisation of storage devices and backup power plants is widely suggested for this purpose, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-22 Stefan Weitemeyer , David Kleinhans , Lars Siemer , Carsten Agert

In 1990, Germany began the reunification of two separate research systems. In this study, we explore the factors predicting the East-West integration of academic fields by examining the evolution of Germany's co-authorship network between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-28 Bogang Jun , Flávio Pinheiro , Tobias Buchmann , Seung-kyu Yi , Cesar Hidalgo

In this paper we propose a new method for probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices. It is based on averaging point forecasts from different models combined with expectile regression. We show that deriving the predicted distribution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-13 Joanna Janczura

In wholesale electricity markets, prices fluctuate widely from hour to hour and electricity generators price-hedge their output using longer-term contracts, such as monthly base futures. Consequently, the incentives they face to drive up…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-05 Alice Lixuan Xu , Jorge Sánchez Canales , Chiara Fusar Bassini , Lynn H. Kaack , Lion Hirth

European electricity markets have been complex since their inception. Policies and technologies advancing renewable integration, consumer empowerment, flexibility, and electrification are reshaping generation and consumption, increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-14 Sergio Potenciano Menci , Laura Andolfi , Rawan Akkouch

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

This paper combines a techno-economic energy system model with an econometric model to maximise electricity price forecasting accuracy. The proposed combination model is tested on the German day-ahead wholesale electricity market. Our paper…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Souhir Ben Amor , Thomas Möbius , Felix Müsgens

The residual load and excess power generation of 27 European countries with a 100% penetration of variable renewable energy sources are explored in order to quantify the benefit of power transmission between countries. Estimates are based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-13 Rolando A. Rodriguez , Sarah Becker , Gorm B. Andresen , Dominik Heide , Martin Greiner

We address the need for forecasting methodologies that handle large uncertainties in electricity prices for continuous intraday markets by incorporating parameter uncertainty and using a broad set of covariables. This study presents the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-11 Daniel Nickelsen , Gernot Müller

As energy communities move from policy design to implementation in Switzerland, understanding their performance in practice has become increasingly important. A techno-economic assessment of a regulation-compliant LEC is presented under the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-20 Na Li , Binod Koirala

Electricity storage is crucial for a successful transition towards carbon-neutral energy production. Despite considerable research and a number of promising future alternatives such as hydrogen, battery storages currently remain the first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Stephan Schlüter , Abhinav Das , Mathew Davison

This paper examines the dependence between electricity prices, demand, and renewable energy sources by means of a multivariate copula model {while studying Germany, the widest studied market in Europe}. The inter-dependencies are…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-05 Fabrizio Durante , Angelica Gianfreda , Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini

Importing renewable energy to Europe offers many potential benefits, including reduced energy costs, lower pressure on infrastructure development, and less land-use within Europe. However, there remain many open questions: on the achievable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Johannes Hampp , Tom Brown

Conventional modelling of networks evolving in time focuses on capturing variations in the network structure. However, the network might be static from the origin or experience only deterministic, regulated changes in its structure,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Anna Malinovskaya , Rebecca Killick , Kathryn Leeming , Philipp Otto

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian reverse unrestricted mixed-frequency model applied to a panel of nine European electricity markets. Our model analyzes the impact of daily fossil fuel prices and hourly renewable energy generation on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini , Andrea Viselli