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Many natural combinatorial problems can be expressed as constraint satisfaction problems. This class of problems is known to be NP-complete in general, but certain restrictions on the form of the constraints can ensure tractability. The…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Dmitriy Zhuk

We use the implicitization procedure to generate polynomial equality constraints on the set of distributions induced by local interventions on variables governed by a causal Bayesian network with hidden variables. We show how we may reduce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Changsung Kang , Jin Tian

The constraint satisfaction problem (CSP) involves deciding, given a set of variables and a set of constraints on the variables, whether or not there is an assignment to the variables satisfying all of the constraints. One formulation of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-01-09 Hubie Chen , Benoit Larose

Modal dependence logic was introduced recently by V\"a\"an\"anen. It enhances the basic modal language by an operator =(). For propositional variables p_1,...,p_n, =(p_1,...,p_(n-1);p_n) intuitively states that the value of p_n is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-04-05 Peter Lohmann , Heribert Vollmer

We present a first theoretical analysis of the power of polynomial-time preprocessing for important combinatorial problems from various areas in AI. We consider problems from Constraint Satisfaction, Global Constraints, Satisfiability,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-13 Serge Gaspers , Stefan Szeider

Probabilities of causation play a central role in modern decision making. Tian and Pearl first introduced formal definitions and derived tight bounds for three binary probabilities of causation, such as the probability of necessity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Shuai Wang , Yizhou Sun , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in general. Existing bounds either disregard available covariates,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yuxuan Xie , Ang Li

Due to unmeasured confounding, it is often not possible to identify causal effects from a postulated model. Nevertheless, we can ask for partial identification, which usually boils down to finding upper and lower bounds of a causal quantity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Jakob Zeitler , Ricardo Silva

Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. This paper addresses the challenge of predicting probabilities of causation for subpopulations with insufficient data using machine learning models. Tian and Pearl…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Shuai Wang , Ang Li

I develop a novel semantics for probabilities of counterfactuals that generalizes the standard Pearlian semantics: it applies to probabilistic causal models that cannot be extended into realistic structural causal models and are therefore…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Sander Beckers

Given a finite collection of probability measures defined on subsets of a measurable space, how can we determine if they are compatible, in the sense that they can be realized as conditional distributions of a single probability measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Owen D. Biesel , Colin McSwiggen , Ted Theodosopoulos , Michael G. Titelbaum

We examine the computational complexity of testing and finding small plans in probabilistic planning domains with both flat and propositional representations. The complexity of plan evaluation and existence varies with the plan type sought;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 M. L. Littman , J. Goldsmith , M. Mundhenk

LECTURE GIVEN AT TH2002. Given a set of Boolean variables, and some constraints between them, is it possible to find a configuration of the variables which satisfies all constraints? This problem, which is at the heart of combinatorial…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Marc Mezard

We prove the #P-hardness of the counting problems associated with various satisfiability, graph and combinatorial problems, when restricted to planar instances. These problems include \begin{romannum} \item[{}] {\sc 3Sat, 1-3Sat, 1-Ex3Sat,…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Harry B. Hunt , Madhav V. Marathe , Venkatesh Radhakrishnan , Richard E. Stearns

The CSP of a first-order theory $T$ is the problem of deciding for a given finite set $S$ of atomic formulas whether $T \cup S$ is satisfiable. Let $T_1$ and $T_2$ be two theories with countably infinite models and disjoint signatures.…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Manuel Bodirsky , Johannes Greiner

We present a basis for studying questions of cause and effect in statistics which subsumes and reconciles the models proposed by Pearl, Robins, Rubin and others, and which, as far as mathematical notions and notation are concerned, is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 José A. Ferreira

Probabilistic justification logic is a modal logic with two kind of modalities: probability measures and explicit justification terms. We present a tableau procedure that can be used to decide the satisfiability problem for this logic in…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Ioannis Kokkinis

The problem of individualization is recognized as crucial in almost every field. Identifying causes of effects in specific events is likewise essential for accurate decision making. However, such estimates invoke counterfactual…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-04 Scott Mueller , Ang Li , Judea Pearl

In pursuit of a deeper understanding of Boolean Promise Constraint Satisfaction Problems (PCSPs), we identify a class of problems with restricted structural complexity, which could serve as a promising candidate for complete…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Katzper Michno

The sufficient-component cause framework assumes the existence of sets of sufficient causes that bring about an event. For a binary outcome and an arbitrary number of binary causes any set of potential outcomes can be replicated by positing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-30 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Thomas S. Richardson