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At present, state-of-the-art forecasting models are short of the ability to capture spatio-temporal dependency and synthesize global information at the stage of learning. To address this issue, in this paper, through the adaptive fuzzified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Lijian Li

We present a scalable Gaussian process model for identifying and characterizing smooth multidimensional changepoints, and automatically learning changes in expressive covariance structure. We use Random Kitchen Sink features to flexibly…

This study addresses the challenges of symptom evolution complexity and insufficient temporal dependency modeling in Parkinson's disease progression prediction. It proposes a unified prediction framework that integrates structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Jiacheng Hu , Bo Zhang , Ting Xu , Haifeng Yang , Min Gao

Linear regression is often deemed inherently interpretable; however, challenges arise for high-dimensional data. We focus on further understanding how linear regression approximates nonlinear responses from high-dimensional functional data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Joachim Schaeffer , Jinwook Rhyu , Robin Droop , Rolf Findeisen , Richard Braatz

Understanding why a model made a certain prediction is crucial in many data science fields. Interpretable predictions engender appropriate trust and provide insight into how the model may be improved. However, with large modern datasets the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-09 Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

High-dimensional group inference is an essential part of statistical methods for analysing complex data sets, including hierarchical testing, tests of interaction, detection of heterogeneous treatment effects and inference for local…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Zijian Guo , Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann , T. Tony Cai

We suggest a new method, called Functional Additive Regression, or FAR, for efficiently performing high-dimensional functional regression. FAR extends the usual linear regression model involving a functional predictor, $X(t)$, and a scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Yingying Fan , Gareth M. James , Peter Radchenko

Hierarchical time-series forecasting is essential for demand prediction across various industries. While machine learning models have obtained significant accuracy and scalability on such forecasting tasks, the interpretability of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Shangqing Xu , Xinjie Tong , Xingyu Zhou , James Peters , Joseph Czyzyk , B. Aditya Prakash

Time series forecasting, which predicts future values from past observations, plays a central role in many domains and has driven the development of highly accurate neural network models. However, the complexity of these models often limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hiroki Tomioka , Genta Yoshimura

Understanding heterogeneous multivariate time series data is important in many applications ranging from smart homes to aviation. Learning models of heterogeneous multivariate time series that are also human-interpretable is challenging and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Ritchie Lee , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Ole J. Mengshoel , Joshua Silbermann

As medical devices become more complex, they routinely collect extensive and complicated data. While classical regressions typically examine the relationship between an outcome and a vector of predictors, it becomes imperative to identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Huaqing Jin , Fei Jiang

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

This paper introduces a new approach for Multivariate Time Series forecasting that jointly infers and leverages relations among time series. Its modularity allows it to be integrated with current univariate methods. Our approach allows to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Victor Garcia Satorras , Syama Sundar Rangapuram , Tim Januschowski

We present a novel methodology for integrating high resolution longitudinal data with the dynamic prediction capabilities of survival models. The aim is two-fold: to improve the predictive power while maintaining interpretability of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-07 Giacomo Lancia , Meri Varkila , Olaf Cremer , Cristian Spitoni

We present a novel computational paradigm for process design in manufacturing processes that incorporates simulation responses to optimize manufacturing process parameters in high-dimensional temporal and spatial design spaces. We developed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Mojtaba Mozaffar , Jian Cao

We propose a flexible yet interpretable model for high-dimensional data with time-varying second order statistics, motivated and applied to functional neuroimaging data. Motivated by the neuroscience literature, we factorize the covariances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Change-point detection (CPD) in high-dimensional, large-volume time series is challenging for statistical consistency, scalability, and interpretability. We introduce TimePred, a self-supervised framework that reduces multivariate CPD to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Simon Leszek

Survival analysis is a fundamental tool for modeling time-to-event outcomes in healthcare. Recent advances have introduced flexible neural network approaches for improved predictive performance. However, most of these models do not provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-10 Mert Ketenci , Vincent Jeanselme , Harry Reyes Nieva , Shalmali Joshi , Noémie Elhadad

Interpretation of deep learning models is a very challenging problem because of their large number of parameters, complex connections between nodes, and unintelligible feature representations. Despite this, many view interpretability as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Michael Tsang , James Enouen , Yan Liu

The modeling and simulation of high-dimensional multiscale systems is a critical challenge across all areas of science and engineering. It is broadly believed that even with today's computer advances resolving all spatiotemporal scales…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-13 Emmanuel Menier , Sebastian Kaltenbach , Mouadh Yagoubi , Marc Schoenauer , Petros Koumoutsakos