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Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of high-resolution climate simulations, particularly for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Hamish Lewis , Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Luke J. Harrington , Chiara M. Holgate , Anna Ukkola , Nicola M. Maher

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

The quality of air is closely linked with the life quality of humans, plantations, and wildlife. It needs to be monitored and preserved continuously. Transportations, industries, construction sites, generators, fireworks, and waste burning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Amisha Gangwar , Sudhakar Singh , Richa Mishra , Shiv Prakash

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods shed light on the predictions of machine learning algorithms. Several different approaches exist and have already been applied in climate science. However, usually missing ground truth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Philine Bommer , Marlene Kretschmer , Anna Hedström , Dilyara Bareeva , Marina M. -C. Höhne

Floods are one of the most common natural disasters, with a disproportionate impact in developing countries that often lack dense streamflow gauge networks. Accurate and timely warnings are critical for mitigating flood risks, but…

Accurate prediction of tropical cyclones remains a major challenge for both numerical weather prediction and emerging artificial intelligence weather prediction systems. While recent global AI models have demonstrated strong skill in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-17 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Zhuo Wang , Mu Mu , Mengqi Yang , Xinhai Han , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Bo Qin

Tropical cyclones (TCs) pose severe threats to life, infrastructure, and economies in tropical and subtropical regions, underscoring the critical need for accurate and timely forecasts of both track and intensity. Recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Peisong Niu , Haifan Zhang , Yang Zhao , Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Wenqiang Shen , Junping Zhao , Huiling Yuan , Liang Sun

High-resolution wind information is essential for wind energy planning and power forecasting, particularly in regions with complex terrain. However, most AI-based weather forecasting models operate at kilometer-scale resolution, constrained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-20 Chensen Lin , Ruian Tie , Shihong Yi , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

The challenge is growing towards extreme and short-duration rainfall events like a cloudburst that are peculiar to the traditional forecasting systems, in which the predictions and the response are taken as two distinct processes. The paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Toqeer Ali Syed , Sohail Khan , Salman Jan , Gohar Ali , Muhammad Nauman , Ali Akarma , Ahmad Ali

Weather forecasting traditionally relies on numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems that integrates global observational systems, data assimilation (DA), and forecasting models. Despite steady improvements in forecast accuracy over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xiuyu Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Xiaoze Xu , Yuanqing Huang , Hao Li , J. David Neelin , Deliang Chen , Jie Feng , Wei Han , Libo Wu , Yuan Qi

Air quality prediction plays a crucial role in public health and environmental protection. Accurate air quality prediction is a complex multivariate spatiotemporal problem, that involves interactions across temporal patterns, pollutant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Hang Yin , Yan-Ming Zhang , Jian Xu , Jian-Long Chang , Yin Li , Cheng-Lin Liu

Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning based weather forecasting models outperform the most successful numerical weather predictions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li , Jie Wu , Bo Lu , Deliang Chen , Shangping Xie , Qingchen Chao , Chensen Lin , Zixin Hu , Yuan Qi

In many problem settings that require spatio-temporal forecasting, the values in the time-series not only exhibit spatio-temporal correlations but are also influenced by spatial diffusion across locations. One such example is forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Malay Pandey , Vaishali Jain , Nimit Godhani , Sachchida Nand Tripathi , Piyush Rai

AI-based climate and weather models have rapidly gained popularity, providing faster forecasts with skill that can match or even surpass that of traditional dynamical models. Despite this success, these models face a key challenge:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Jacob B. Landsberg , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Urban downscaling is a link to transfer the knowledge from coarser climate information to city scale assessments. These high-resolution assessments need multiyear climatology of past data and future projections, which are complex and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Manmeet Singh , Nachiketa Acharya , Sajad Jamshidi , Junfeng Jiao , Zong-Liang Yang , Marc Coudert , Zach Baumer , Dev Niyogi

Mobile and ubiquitous sensing of urban air quality has received increased attention as an economically and operationally viable means to survey atmospheric environment with high spatial-temporal resolution. This paper proposes a machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jun Song , Ke Han

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution climate models or downscaling. High-resolution models are…

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

During the era of global warming and highly urbanized development, extreme and high impact weather as well as air pollution incidents influence everyday life and might even cause the incalculable loss of life and property. Although with the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-05 Jun Gu , Jiawang Feng , Xiaoyu Hao , Tao Fang , Chun Zhao , Hong An , Junshi Chen , Mingyue Xu , Jian Li , Wenting Han , Chao Yang , Fang Li , Dexun Chen

Air quality impacts people's health and daily life, affects the sensitive ecosystems, and even restrains a country's development. By collecting and processing the time series data of Air Quality Index (AQI) of 363 cities of China from Jan.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Wenjun Zhang , Zhanpeng Guan , Jianyao Li , Zhu Su , Weibing Deng , Wei Li