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Climate system models (CSMs), through integrating cross-sphere interactions among the atmosphere, ocean, land, and cryosphere, have emerged as pivotal tools for deciphering climate dynamics and improving forecasting capabilities. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Chenguang Zhou , Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Bo Lu , Hao Li , Libo Wu , Jie Wu , Jiahui Hu , Zesheng Dou , Pang-Chi Hsu , Xiaoye Zhang

Air pollution has emerged as a major public health challenge in megacities. Numerical simulations and single-site machine learning approaches have been widely applied in air quality forecasting tasks. However, these methods face multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Zhixin Geng , Xu Fan , Xiqiao Lu , Yan Zhang , Guangyuan Yu , Cheng Huang , Qian Wang , Yuewu Li , Weichun Ma , Qi Yu , Libo Wu , Hao Li

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models are powerful tools for medium-range forecasts but often lack physical consistency, leading to outputs that violate conservation laws. This study introduces a set of novel…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-30 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

Seamless forecasting that produces warning information at continuum timescales based on only one system is a long-standing pursuit for weather-climate service. While the rapid advancement of deep learning has induced revolutionary changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Fenghua Ling , Kang Chen , Jiye Wu , Tao Han , Jing-Jia Luo , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

In the past few years, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based weather forecasting methods have widely demonstrated strong competitiveness among the weather forecasting systems. However, these methods are insufficient for high-spatial-resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Xujun Wei , Feng Zhang , Renhe Zhang , Wenwen Li , Cuiping Liu , Bin Guo , Jingwei Li , Haoyang Fu , Xu Tang

Current operational air quality forecasts are computationally expensive, sensitive to errors in physics and emissions, and often neglect weather-related uncertainty. To address these limitations, we present AirFusion, a hybrid,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Ao Ding , Aoxing Zhang , Tzung-May Fu , Yuanlong Huang , Qianjie Chen , Yuyang Chen , Jiajia Mo , Wei Tao , Wai-Chi Cheng , Lei Zhu , Xin Yang , Guy Brasseur

We present FengWu, an advanced data-driven global medium-range weather forecast system based on Artificial Intelligence (AI). Different from existing data-driven weather forecast methods, FengWu solves the medium-range forecast problem from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Kang Chen , Tao Han , Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Fenghua Ling , Jing-Jia Luo , Xi Chen , Leiming Ma , Tianning Zhang , Rui Su , Yuanzheng Ci , Bin Li , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Severe convective storms are among the most dangerous weather phenomena and accurate forecasts mitigate their impacts. The recently released suite of AI-based weather models produces medium-range forecasts within seconds, with a skill…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-11 Monika Feldmann , Tom Beucler , Milton Gomez , Olivia Martius

Recently, artificial intelligence-based (AI-based) models for forecasting of global weather have been rapidly developed. Most of the global models are trained on reanalysis datasets with a spatial resolution of 0.25{\deg}*0.25{\deg}.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Pengbo Xu , Xiaogu Zheng , Tianyan Gao , Yu Wang , Junping Yin , Juan Zhang , Xuanze Zhang , San Luo , Zhonglei Wang , Zhimin Zhang , Xiaoguang Hu , Xiaoxu Chen

Artificial intelligence (AI) has achieved breakthroughs comparable to traditional numerical models in data-driven weather forecasting, yet it remains essentially statistical fitting and struggles to uncover the physical causal mechanisms of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Kaikai Zhang , Xiang Wang , Haoluo Zhao , Nan Chen , Mengyang Yu Jing-Jia Luo , Tao Song , Fan Meng

Air pollution poses a serious threat to human health as well as economic development around the world. To meet the increasing demand for accurate predictions for air pollutions, we proposed a Deep Inferential Spatial-Temporal Network to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Hao Wang , Bojin Zhuang , Yang Chen , Ni Li , Dongxia Wei

AI-based methods have revolutionized atmospheric forecasting, with recent successes in medium-range forecasting spurring the development of climate foundation models. Accurate modeling of complex atmospheric dynamics at high spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Deifilia Kieckhefen , Markus Götz , Lars H. Heyen , Achim Streit , Charlotte Debus

Atmospheric sciences are crucial for understanding environmental phenomena ranging from air quality to extreme weather events, and climate change. Recent breakthroughs in sensing, communication, computing, and Artificial Intelligence (AI)…

Weather forecasting has long posed a significant challenge for humanity. While recent AI-based models have surpassed traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods in global forecasting tasks, overfitting remains a critical issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Peisong Niu , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Weiqi Chen , Lefei Shen , Rong Jin , Liang Sun

Accurate short-term warnings for extreme precipitation are critical for global disaster mitigation but are hindered by a persistent predictability barrier at the 2-6 hour horizon -- the "nowcasting gray zone." In this window, traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Haofei Sun , Yunfan Yang , Wei Han , Wei Huang , Huaguan Chen , Zhiqiu Gao , Zeting Li , Zhaoyang Huo , Zeyi Niu

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following coordinates into AIWP models.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-17 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

Due to the significant air pollution problem, monitoring and prediction for air quality have become increasingly necessary. To provide real-time fine-grained air quality monitoring and prediction in urban areas, we have established our own…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-07 Zixuan Bai , Zhiwen Hu , Kaigui Bian , Lingyang Song

We propose TopoFlow (Topography-aware pollutant Flow learning), a physics-guided neural network for efficient, high-resolution air quality prediction. To explicitly embed physical processes into the learning framework, we identify two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Ammar Kheder , Helmi Toropainen , Wenqing Peng , Samuel Antão , Jia Chen , Michael Boy , Zhi-Song Liu

The advent of Large Weather Models (LWMs) has marked a turning point in data-driven forecasting, with many models now outperforming traditional numerical systems in the medium range. However, achieving stable, long-range autoregressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Minjong Cheon
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