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We consider $L^2$-regularized linear (ridge) regression over a finite data sample $X$ with bounded covariance and linear prediction targets $y$ with additive isotropic noise of finite variance. We present an iterative procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jack Timmermans , Sergio A. Alvarez

Ridge estimators regularize the squared Euclidean lengths of parameters. Such estimators are mathematically and computationally attractive but involve tuning parameters that can be difficult to calibrate. In this paper, we show that ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-28 Shih-Ting Huang , Fang Xie , Johannes Lederer

In this paper, we propose a random projection approach to estimate variance in kernel ridge regression. Our approach leads to a consistent estimator of the true variance, while being computationally more efficient. Our variance estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Meimei Liu , Jean Honorio , Guang Cheng

We propose an adaptive ridge (AR) estimation scheme for a heteroscedastic linear regression model with log-linear noise in data. We simultaneously estimate the mean and variance parameters, demonstrating new asymptotic distributional and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Ka Long Keith Ho , Hiroki Masuda

Random forests are an ensemble method relevant for many problems, such as regression or classification. They are popular due to their good predictive performance (compared to, e.g., decision trees) requiring only minimal tuning of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein

Artificial intelligence, trained via machine learning or computational statistics algorithms, holds much promise for the improvement of small molecule drug discovery. However, structure-activity data are high dimensional with low…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-25 Oliver Watson , Isidro Cortes-Ciriano , Aimee Taylor , James A Watson

An effective approach in meta-learning is to utilize multiple "train tasks" to learn a good initialization for model parameters that can help solve unseen "test tasks" with very few samples by fine-tuning from this initialization. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Nikunj Saunshi , Arushi Gupta , Wei Hu

We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Stefan Wager , Guenther Walther

Characterization of local minima draws much attention in theoretical studies of deep learning. In this study, we investigate the distribution of parameters in an over-parametrized finite neural network trained by ridge regularized empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Sho Sonoda , Isao Ishikawa , Masahiro Ikeda

Model collapse occurs when generative models degrade after repeatedly training on their own synthetic outputs. We study this effect in overparameterized linear regression in a setting where each iteration mixes fresh real labels with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Anvit Garg , Sohom Bhattacharya , Pragya Sur

Model trees provide an appealing way to perform interpretable machine learning for both classification and regression problems. In contrast to ``classic'' decision trees with constant values in their leaves, model trees can use linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Sabino Francesco Roselli , Eibe Frank

The classical kernel ridge regression problem aims to find the best fit for the output $Y$ as a function of the input data $X\in \mathbb{R}^d$, with a fixed choice of regularization term imposed by a given choice of a reproducing kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Yang Li , Feng Ruan

In our era of enormous neural networks, empirical progress has been driven by the philosophy that more is better. Recent deep learning practice has found repeatedly that larger model size, more data, and more computation (resulting in lower…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 James B. Simon , Dhruva Karkada , Nikhil Ghosh , Mikhail Belkin

Regular variation is often used as the starting point for modeling multivariate heavy-tailed data. A random vector is regularly varying if and only if its radial part $R$ is regularly varying and is asymptotically independent of the angular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

Ridge regression is a popular method for dense least squares regularization. In this work, ridge regression is studied in the context of VAR model estimation and inference. The implications of anisotropic penalization are discussed and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Giovanni Ballarin

Continual learning is motivated by the need to adapt to real-world dynamics in tasks and data distribution while mitigating catastrophic forgetting. Despite significant advances in continual learning techniques, the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Yihan Zhao , Wenqing Su , Ying Yang

Because of the advance in technologies, modern statistical studies often encounter linear models with the number of explanatory variables much larger than the sample size. Estimation and variable selection in these high-dimensional problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Jun Shao , Xinwei Deng

Classifiers are biased when trained on biased datasets. As a remedy, we propose Learning to Split (ls), an algorithm for automatic bias detection. Given a dataset with input-label pairs, ls learns to split this dataset so that predictors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Yujia Bao , Regina Barzilay

Conformal prediction is a method of producing prediction sets that can be applied on top of a wide range of prediction algorithms. The method has a guaranteed coverage probability under the standard IID assumption regardless of whether the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vovk

The large amount of online data and vast array of computing resources enable current researchers in both industry and academia to employ the power of deep learning with neural networks. While deep models trained with massive amounts of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Shuai Tang , Virginia R. de Sa
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