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Related papers: On Bitcoin Price Prediction

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In this paper, we explore the usability of different natural language processing models for the sentiment analysis of social media applied to financial market prediction, using the cryptocurrency domain as a reference. We study how the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Ali Raheman , Anton Kolonin , Igors Fridkins , Ikram Ansari , Mukul Vishwas

We develop a dynamic model of the Bitcoin market where users set fees themselves and miners decide whether to operate and whom to validate based on those fees. Our analysis reveals how, in equilibrium, users adjust their bids in response to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-24 Yuichiro Kamada , Shunya Noda

Cryptocurrencies, as decentralized digital assets, have experienced rapid growth and adoption, with over 23,000 cryptocurrencies and a market capitalization nearing \$1.1 trillion (about \$3,400 per person in the US) as of 2023. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Jannatun Nayeem Pinky , Ramya Akula

In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Yuanhong Wu , Wei Ye , Jingyan Xu , D. Frank Hsu

In modern times, the cryptocurrency market is one of the world's most rapidly rising financial markets. The cryptocurrency market is regarded to be more volatile and illiquid than traditional markets such as equities, foreign exchange, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Anika Tahsin Meem

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

In this study the cross-correlations between the cryptocurrency market represented by the two most liquid and highest-capitalized cryptocurrencies: bitcoin and ethereum, on the one side, and the instruments representing the traditional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-02 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Whether or not stocks are predictable has been a topic of concern for decades.The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that it is difficult for investors to make extra profits by predicting stock prices, but this may not be true,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Yueshan Chen , Xingyu Xu , Tian Lan , Sihai Zhang

Bitcoin uses blockchain technology to maintain transactions order and provides probabilistic guarantee to prevent double-spending, assuming that an attacker's computational power does not exceed %50 of the network power. In this paper, we…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Ghader Ebrahimpour , Mohammad Sayad Haghighi

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

Cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin (BTC), which comprise a new digital asset class, have drawn extraordinary worldwide attention. The characteristics of the cryptocurrency/BTC include a high level of speculation, extreme volatility and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-24 Ai Jun Hou , Weining Wang , Cathy Y. H. Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Predicting the trend of Bitcoin, a highly volatile cryptocurrency, remains a challenging task. Accurate forecasting holds immense potential for investors and market participants dealing with High Frequency Trading systems. The purpose of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Zeinab Shahsafdari , Ahmad Kalhor

Digital currencies have become popular in the last decade due to their non-dependency and decentralized nature. The price of these currencies has seen a lot of fluctuations at times, which has increased the need for prediction. As their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-24 Ramin Mousa , Meysam Afrookhteh , Hooman Khaloo , Amir Ali Bengari , Gholamreza Heidary

The long-term dependence of Bitcoin (BTC), manifesting itself through a Hurst exponent $H>0.5$, is exploited in order to predict future BTC/USD price. A Monte Carlo simulation with $10^4$ geometric fractional Brownian motion realisations is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-04 Mariusz Tarnopolski

The purpose of this paper is to review the concept of cryptocurrencies in our economy. First, Bitcoin and alternative cryptocurrencies' histories are analyzed. We then study the implementation of Bitcoin in the airline and real estate…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-06 Merrick Wang

We study the information dynamics between the largest Bitcoin exchange markets during the bubble in 2017-2018. By analysing high-frequency market-microstructure observables with different information theoretic measures for dynamical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Fabrizio Lillo , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

This letter revisits the informational efficiency of the Bitcoin market. In particular we analyze the time-varying behavior of long memory of returns on Bitcoin and volatility 2011 until 2017, using the Hurst exponent. Our results are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-26 Aurelio F. Bariviera

There are no solid arguments to sustain that digital currencies are the future of online payments or the disruptive technology that some of its former participants declared when used to face critiques. This paper aims to solve the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-03 Obryan Poyser

A key challenge for Bitcoin cryptocurrency holders, such as startups using ICOs to raise funding, is managing their FX risk. Specifically, a misinformed decision to convert Bitcoin to fiat currency could, by itself, cost USD millions. In…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-15 Cuneyt Akcora , Matthew Dixon , Yulia Gel , Murat Kantarcioglu
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