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Environments such as shopping malls, airports, or hospital emergency departments often experience crowding, with many people simultaneously requesting service. Crowding is highly noisy, with sudden overcrowding "spikes". Past research has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-16 Gil Parnass , Osnat Levtzion-Korach , Renana Peres , Michael Assaf

One of the most urgent problems is the overcrowding in emergency departments (EDs), caused by an aging population and rising healthcare costs. Patient dispositions have become more complex as a result of the strain on hospital…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Nafisa Binte Feroz , Chandrima Sarker , Tanzima Ahsan , K M Arefeen Sultan , Raqeebir Rab

Over 30 million Americans are affected by Type II diabetes (T2D), a treatable condition with significant health risks. This study aims to develop and validate predictive models using machine learning (ML) techniques to estimate emergency…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-13 Javad M Alizadeh , Jay S Patel , Gabriel Tajeu , Yuzhou Chen , Ilene L Hollin , Mukesh K Patel , Junchao Fei , Huanmei Wu

Emergency department (ED) overcrowding and patient boarding represent critical systemic challenges that compromise care quality. We propose a threshold-based admission policy that redirects non-urgent patients to alternative care pathways,…

Performance · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Sahba Baniasadi , Paul M. Griffin , Prakash Chakraborty

We introduce a new method for forecasting emergency call arrival rates that combines integer-valued time series models with a dynamic latent factor structure. Covariate information is captured via simple constraints on the factor loadings.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-26 David S. Matteson , Mathew W. McLean , Dawn B. Woodard , Shane G. Henderson

Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding continues to be a public health issue as well as a patient safety issue. The underlying factors leading to ED crowding are numerous, varied, and complex. Although lack of in-hospital beds is frequently…

Split flow models, in which a physician rather than a nurse performs triage, are increasingly being used in hospital emergency departments (EDs) to improve patient flow. Before deciding whether such interventions should be adopted, it is…

We study the estimation of the probability distribution of individual patient waiting times in an emergency department (ED). Our feature-rich modelling allows for dynamic updating and refinement of waiting time estimates as patient- and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Siddharth Arora , James W. Taylor , Ho-Yin Mak

Over the past decade the rate of care unit (CU) use in the United States has been increasing. With an aging population and ever-growing demand for medical care, effective management of patients' transitions among different care facilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Hongteng Xu , Weichang Wu , Shamim Nemati , Hongyuan Zha

Over an extensive duration, administrators and clinicians have endeavoured to predict Emergency Department (ED) visits with precision, aiming to optimise resource distribution. Despite the proliferation of diverse AI-driven models tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Mehdi Neshat , Michael Phipps , Nikhil Jha , Danial Khojasteh , Michael Tong , Amir Gandomi

In the past decade, Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms have made promising impacts to transform healthcare in all aspects. One application is to triage patients' radiological medical images based on the algorithm's binary outputs. Such…

The issue of left before treatment complete (LBTC) patients is common in emergency departments (EDs). This issue represents a medico-legal risk and may cause a revenue loss. Thus, understanding the factors that cause patients to leave…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Abdulaziz Ahmed , Khalid Y. Aram , Salih Tutun

The availability of downstream resources plays is critical in planning the admission of elective surgery patients. The most crucial one is inpatient beds. To ensure bed availability, hospitals may use machine learning (ML) models to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Pieter Smet , Martina Doneda , Ettore Lanzarone , Giuliana Carello

Problem definition: Access to accurate predictions of patients' outcomes can enhance medical staff's decision-making, which ultimately benefits all stakeholders in the hospitals. A large hospital network in the US has been collaborating…

Early and timely prediction of patient care demand not only affects effective resource allocation but also influences clinical decision-making as well as patient experience. Accurately predicting patient care demand, however, is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Annie Hu , Samuel Stockman , Xun Wu , Richard Wood , Bangdong Zhi , Oliver Y. Chén

Accurately forecasting patient arrivals at Urgent Care Clinics (UCCs) and Emergency Departments (EDs) is important for effective resourcing and patient care. However, correctly estimating patient flows is not straightforward since it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Teo Susnjak , Paula Maddigan

Machine learning has been widely used in healthcare applications to approximate complex models, for clinical diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment. As deep learning has the outstanding ability to extract information from time series, its true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Ke Liao , Wei Wang , Armagan Elibol , Lingzhong Meng , Xu Zhao , Nak Young Chong

The effective management of Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding is essential for improving patient outcomes and optimizing healthcare resource allocation. This study validates hospital admission prediction models initially developed…

Accurate modeling of the patient flow within an Emergency Department (ED) is required by all studies dealing with the increasing and well-known problem of overcrowding. Since Discrete Event Simulation (DES) models are often adopted with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-02 A. De Santis , T. Giovannelli , S. Lucidi , M. Messedaglia , M. Roma

The development of respiratory failure is common among patients in intensive care units (ICU). Large data quantities from ICU patient monitoring systems make timely and comprehensive analysis by clinicians difficult but are ideal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Matthias Hüser , Martin Faltys , Xinrui Lyu , Chris Barber , Stephanie L. Hyland , Tobias M. Merz , Gunnar Rätsch