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The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Robust sensing and perception in adverse weather conditions remain one of the biggest challenges for realizing reliable autonomous vehicle mobility services. Prior work has established that rainfall rate is a useful measure for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-26 Robin Karlsson , David Robert Wong , Kazunari Kawabata , Simon Thompson , Naoki Sakai

High quality Quantitative Precipitation Estimation at high spatiotemporal resolution is crucial to many hydrologic/hydro-meteorological designs. Optimal Quantitative Precipitation Estimation of rainfall improves the accuracy of river and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-03 Ruhollah Nasiri , Mohamad Sarajzadeh

As drought is among the natural hazards which affects people and economies worldwide and often results in huge monetary losses sophisticated methods for drought monitoring and decision making are needed. Several different approaches to…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-27 Tobias M. Erhardt , Claudia Czado

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Diffusion models offer a physically grounded framework for probabilistic weather forecasting, but their typical reliance on slow, iterative solvers during inference makes them impractical for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) applications where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Jason Stock , Troy Arcomano , Rao Kotamarthi

This paper introduces a new Bayesian approach to the inverse problem of passive microwave rainfall retrieval. The proposed methodology relies on a regularization technique and makes use of two joint dictionaries of coincidental rainfall…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-07 Ardeshir Mohammad Ebtehaj , Rafael Luis Bras , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

The probability of a drought for a particular region is crucial when making decisions related to agriculture. Forecasting this probability is critical for management and challenging at the same time. The prediction model should consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 V. Grabar , A. Lukashevich , A. Zaytsev

Assessing the availability of rainfall water plays a crucial role in rainfed agriculture. Given the substantial proportion of agricultural practices in India being rainfed and considering the potential trends in rainfall amounts across…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-17 Sayan Bhowmik , Arnab Hazra

A new stochastic model for daily precipitation occurrence processes observed at multiple locations is developed. The modeling concept is to use the indicator function and the elliptical shape of multivariate Gaussian distribution to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-02 Hsien-Wei Chen

In this study, we examine a Bayesian approach to analyze extreme daily rainfall amounts and forecast return-levels. Estimating the probability of occurrence and quantiles of future extreme events is important in many applications, including…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-29 Douglas E. Johnston

An application of the Soil Moisture Agricultural Drought Index (SMADI) at the global scale is presented. The index integrates surface soil moisture from the SMOS mission with land surface temperature (LST) and Normalized Difference…

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a possible climate engineering strategy where reflective particles are injected into the stratosphere, has been explored to mitigate global warming and its associated risks, such as the intensification…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Cameron Dong , James W. Hurrell , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

Autoregressive models are among the best performing neural density estimators. We describe an approach for increasing the flexibility of an autoregressive model, based on modelling the random numbers that the model uses internally when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-15 George Papamakarios , Theo Pavlakou , Iain Murray

Accurate, localised rainfall information is essential for applications such as agricultural planning, climate risk assessment, and water resources management. Gridded climate products provide rainfall information over large areas but can…

Understanding droughts in a climate context remains a major challenge. Over the United States, different choices of observations and metrics have often produced diametrically opposite insights. This paper focuses on understanding and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-31 Poulomi Ganguli , Auroop R. Ganguly

Recent advances in automated vehicles have focused on improving perception performance under adverse weather conditions; however, research on physical hardware solutions remains limited, despite their importance for perception critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Mohamed Sabry , Joseba Gorospe , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Precipitation is a large-scale, spatio-temporally heterogeneous phenomenon, with frequent anomalies exhibiting unusually high or low values. We use Markov Random Fields (MRFs) to detect spatio-temporally coherent anomalies in gridded annual…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-01 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri

Rainfall is an important component of the climate system and its statistical properties are vital for prediction purposes. In this study, we have developed a statistical method for constructing the distribution of annual precipitation. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-24 Yosef Ashkenazy , Naftali R. Smith