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In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

In this work, we study the positive definiteness (PDness) problem in covariance matrix estimation. For high dimensional data, many regularized estimators are proposed under structural assumptions on the true covariance matrix including…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Young-Geun Choi , Johan Lim , Anindya Roy , Junyong Park

In massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems, the knowledge of the users' channel covariance matrix is crucial for minimum mean square error (MMSE) channel estimation in the uplink as well as it plays an important role in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Tianyu Yang , Mahdi Barzegar Khalilsarai , Saeid Haghighatshoar , Giuseppe Caire

We consider reduced-rank modeling of the white noise covariance matrix in a large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We first propose the reduced-rank covariance estimator under the setting where independent observations are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-09 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

In using data assimilation to import information from observations to estimate parameters and state variables of a model, one must assume a distribution for the noise in the measurements and in the model errors. Using the path integral…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-12-10 Henry D. I. Abarbanel

We present a method for computing reduced-order models of parameterized partial differential equation solutions. The key analytical tool is the singular value expansion of the parameterized solution, which we approximate with a singular…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Paul G. Constantine , David F. Gleich , Yangyang Hou , Jeremy Templeton

The 4D-Var method for filtering partially observed nonlinear chaotic dynamical systems consists of finding the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) estimator of the initial condition of the system given observations over a time window, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Daniel Paulin , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…

Data-driven reduced-order models often fail to make accurate forecasts of high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems that are sensitive along coordinates with low-variance because such coordinates are often truncated, e.g., by proper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-14 Samuel E. Otto , Alberto Padovan , Clarence W. Rowley

We propose a method for estimating a covariance matrix that can be represented as a sum of a low-rank matrix and a diagonal matrix. The proposed method compresses high-dimensional data, computes the sample covariance in the compressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Gautam Sabnis , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

A powerful concept behind much of the recent progress in machine learning is the extraction of common features across data from heterogeneous sources or tasks. Intuitively, using all of one's data to learn a common representation function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 Thomas T. C. K. Zhang , Leonardo F. Toso , James Anderson , Nikolai Matni

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

This study demonstrates how the incremental 4D-Var data assimilation method can be applied efficiently preconditione d in an application to an oceanographic problem. The approach consists in performing a few iterations of the reduced-order…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-09-19 Céline Robert , Eric Blayo , Jacques Verron

We consider the problem of state estimation in general state-space models using variational inference. For a generic variational family defined using the same backward decomposition as the actual joint smoothing distribution, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Mathis Chagneux , Élisabeth Gassiat , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) has emerged as an important methodology, widely used in numerical weather prediction, oceanographic modeling, and climate forecasting. Classical unconstrained gradient-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bowen Li , Bin Shi

Accurate platform localization is an integral component of most robotic systems. As these robotic systems become more ubiquitous, it is necessary to develop robust state estimation algorithms that are able to withstand novel and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

Data assimilation combines forecasts from a numerical model with observations. Most of the current data assimilation algorithms consider the model and observation error terms as additive Gaussian noise, specified by their covariance…

We present an efficient computational framework to quantify the impact of individual observations in four dimensional variational data assimilation. The proposed methodology uses first and second order adjoint sensitivity analysis, together…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-07-22 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu
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