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The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

Laplace's first law of errors, which states that the frequency of an error can be represented as an exponential function of the error magnitude, was overlooked for many decades but was recently shown to describe the statistical behavior of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-13 Lucianno Defaveri , Eli Barkai

This Colloquium reviews statistical models for money, wealth, and income distributions developed in the econophysics literature since the late 1990s. By analogy with the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution of energy in physics, it is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-24 Victor M. Yakovenko , J. Barkley Rosser

At least two, different approaches to define and solve statistical models for the analysis of economic systems exist: the typical, econometric one, interpreting the Gravity Model specification as the expected link weight of an arbitrary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-06 Marzio Di Vece , Diego Garlaschelli , Tiziano Squartini

In a seminal paper of 2005, Nualart and Peccati discovered a surprising central limit theorem (called the "Fourth Moment Theorem" in the sequel) for sequences of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order: in this context, convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-29 Ivan Nourdin

Estimating a large alphabet probability distribution from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics. A variety of estimation schemes have been proposed over the years, mostly inspired by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-20 Amichai Painsky , Meir Feder

Pipage rounding is a dependent random sampling technique that has several interesting properties and diverse applications. One property that has been particularly useful is negative correlation of the resulting vector. Unfortunately…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-07-10 Nicholas J. A. Harvey , Neil Olver

Statistical models with latent structure have a history going back to the 1950s and have seen widespread use in the social sciences and, more recently, in computational biology and in machine learning. Here we study the basic latent class…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-25 S. E. Fienberg , P. Hersh , A. Rinaldo , Y. Zhou

The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Odile Sauzet

Behavioural economics provides labels for patterns in human economic behaviour. Probability weighting is one such label. It expresses a mismatch between probabilities used in a formal model of a decision (i.e. model parameters) and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-04 Ole Peters , Alexander Adamou , Mark Kirstein , Yonatan Berman

In this paper, we obtain some additional probabilistic properties of the renewal process $\{\hat{N}_{\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$, $0<\alpha\le 1$ introduced by Beghin and Orsingher (2010). A time-changed relationship connecting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-09 Mostafizar Khandakar , Bratati Pal

Concentration results and probabilistic analysis for combinatorial problems like the TSP, MWST, graph coloring have received much attention, but generally, for i.i.d. samples (i.i.d. points in the unit square for the TSP, for example).…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-24 Ravindran Kannan

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have achieved promising results in diverse generative tasks. A typical DPM framework includes a forward process that gradually diffuses the data distribution and a reverse process that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tianyu Pang , Cheng Lu , Chao Du , Min Lin , Shuicheng Yan , Zhijie Deng

Consider the random Cayley graph of a finite group $G$ with respect to $k$ generators chosen uniformly at random, with $1 \ll k \lesssim \log |G|$. The results of this article supplement those in the three main papers on random Cayley…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-05 Jonathan Hermon , Sam Olesker-Taylor

Since the seminal work by Beresteanu and Molinari(2008), the random set theory and related inference methods have been widely applied in partially identified econometric models. Meanwhile, there is an emerging field in statistics for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Daisuke Kurisu , Yuta Okamoto , Taisuke Otsu

In this article we investigate the asymptotic behavior of a new class of multi-dimensional diffusions in random environment. We introduce cut times in the spirit of the work done by Bolthausen, Sznitman and Zeitouni, see [4], in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-12 Ivan del Tenno

A different general philosophy, to be called Full Randomness (FR), for the analysis of random effects models is presented, involving a notion of reducing or preferably eliminating fixed effects, at least formally. For example, under FR…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-30 Norm Matloff

This article introduces a framework for evaluating statistical decisions under both prior ambiguity and likelihood misspecification. We begin with an ambiguity set - a frequentist model that pairs a possibly misspecified likelihood with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-14 Karun Adusumilli

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf