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Related papers: Probabilistic modeling of delays for train journey…

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Robust travel time predictions are of prime importance in managing any transportation infrastructure, and particularly in rail networks where they have major impacts both on traffic regulation and passenger satisfaction. We aim at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Farid Arthaud , Guillaume Lecoeur , Alban Pierre

Railway systems form an important means of transport across the world. However, congestions or disruptions may significantly decrease these systems' efficiencies, making predicting and understanding the resulting train delays a priority for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-14 Mark M. Dekker , Alexey N. Medvedev , Jan Rombouts , Grzegorz Siudem , Liubov Tupikina

Accurate and timely travel information is an asset for enhancing passenger travel experience during normal traffic, and for mitigating the discomforts during disruptions. With longer and more frequent disruptions as well as increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-10 Abderrahman Ait-Ali , Anders Peterson

This research investigates flight delay trends by examining factors such as departure time, airline, and airport. It employs regression machine learning methods to predict the contributions of various sources to delays. Time-series models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Aravinda Jatavallabha , Jacob Gerlach , Aadithya Naresh

We investigate the stochastic transfer synchronization problem, which seeks to synchronize the timetables of different routes in a transit network to reduce transfer waiting times, delay times, and unnecessary in-vehicle times. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Zahra Ansarilari , Merve Bodur , Amer Shalaby

In public railway systems, minor disruptions can trigger cascading events that lead to delays in the entire system. Typically, delays originate and propagate because the equipment is blocking ways, operational units are unavailable, or at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-24 Simone Daniotti , Vito D. P. Servedio , Johannes Kager , Aad Robben-Baldauf , Stefan Thurner

Disruptions are an inherent feature of transportation systems, occurring unpredictably and with varying durations. Even after an incident is reported as resolved, disruptions can induce irregular train operations that generate substantial…

A multi-modal transport system is acknowledged to have robust failure tolerance and can effectively relieve urban congestion issues. However, estimating the impact of disruptions across multi-transport modes is a challenging problem due to…

India runs the fourth largest railway transport network size carrying over 8 billion passengers per year. However, the travel experience of passengers is frequently marked by delays, i.e., late arrival of trains at stations, causing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-11 Ramashish Gaurav , Biplav Srivastava

Train delays are a persistent issue in railway systems, particularly in suburban networks where operational complexity is heightened by frequent services and high passenger volumes. Traditional delay models often overlook the temporal and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-08 Stefania Colombo , Alfredo Gimenez Zapiola , Francesca Ieva , Simone Vantini

Human mobility patterns are complex and distinct from one person to another. Nevertheless, motivated by tremendous potential benefits of modeling such patterns in enabling new mobile services and technologies, researchers have attempted to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-07-09 Seyed Kaveh Fayazbakhsh

We demonstrate that the distribution of train delays on the British railway network is accurately described by q-exponential functions. We explain this by constructing an underlying superstatistical model.

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Keith Briggs , Christian Beck

Within the endeavour of modelling and understanding the propagation of delays in transportation networks, an approach that has attracted increasing interest in the last decade is the creation of functional network representations. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-08 Carlson Moses Büth , Massimiliano Zanin

Train delays can propagate rapidly throughout the Urban Rail Transit (URT) network under networked operation conditions, posing significant challenges to operational departments. Accurately predicting passenger travel choices under train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Chen Chen , Yuxin He , Hao Wang , Jingjing Chen , Qin Luo

Travel time estimation is a key task in navigation apps and web mapping services. Existing deterministic and probabilistic methods, based on the assumption of trip independence, predominantly focus on modeling individual trips while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

This study investigated the climate effect under consecutive winters on the arrival delay of high-speed passenger trains in northern Sweden. Novel statistical learning approaches, including inhomogeneous Markov chain model and stratified…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-15 Jianfeng Wang , Roberto Mantas Nakhai , Jun Yu

Since the advent of new nanotechnologies, the variability of gate delay due to process variations has become a major concern. This paper proposes a new gate delay model that includes impact from both process variations and multiple input…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Y. Satish Kumar , Jun Li , Claudio Talarico , Janet Wang

Accurate delivery delay prediction is critical for maintaining operational efficiency and customer satisfaction across modern supply chains. Yet the increasing complexity of logistics networks, spanning multimodal transportation,…

The urban transportation system is a combination of multiple transport modes, and the interdependencies across those modes exist. This means that the travel demand across different travel modes could be correlated as one mode may receive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Mingzhuang Hua , Francisco Camara Pereira , Yu Jiang , Xuewu Chen

Railways are a key infrastructure for any modern country. The reliability and resilience of this peculiar transportation system may be challenged by different shocks such as disruptions, strikes and adverse weather conditions. These events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-19 Bernardo Monechi , Pietro Gravino , Riccardo di Clemente , Vito D. P. Servedio
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