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Supply chains' increasing globalization and complexity have recently produced unpredictable disruptions, ripple effects, and cascading resulting failures. Proposed practices for managing these concerns include the advanced field of forward…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-27 Madison Smith , Michael Gaiewski , Sam Dulin , Laurel Williams , Jeffrey Keisler , Andrew Jin , Igor Linkov

This paper investigates the endogenous formation of supply chains and its consequences for disruption propagation. In production networks where upstream risk is highly correlated and supplier relationships are not observable, the marginal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-24 Andrea Titton

We propose a generic system model for a special category of interdependent networks, demand-supply networks, in which the demand and the supply nodes are associated with heterogeneous loads and resources, respectively. Our model sheds a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-11-11 Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Jiayu Mao , Do Young Eun , Huaiyu Dai

In order to increase the resilience of distribution systems against high-impact low-probability (HILP) events, it is important to prioritize the damaged assets so that the lost loads, especially critical and important loads, can be restored…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-25 Hamidreza Sharifi Moghaddam , Reza Dashti , Abolfazl Ahmadi

Critical energy infrastructure are constantly understress due to the ever increasing disruptions caused by wildfires, hurricanes, other weather related extreme events and cyber-attacks. Hence it becomes important to make critical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Nawaf Nazir , Thiagarajan Ramachandaran , Soumya Kundu , Veronica Adetola

We introduce a parsimonious multi-sector model of international production and use it to study the impact of a disruption in the production of some goods propagates to other goods and consumers, and how that impact depends on the goods'…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-16 Matthew L. Elliott , Matthew O. Jackson

The recovery of businesses after a disaster is vital to community economic resilience, yet the network dynamics influencing the speed and spillover effects of recovery remain poorly understood. Understanding these dynamics is essential for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Chia-Fu Liu1 , Chia-Wei Hsu , Ali Mostafavi

This paper examines the value of storage in securing reliability of a system with uncertain supply and demand, and supply friction. The storage is frictionless as a supply source, but once used, it cannot be filled up instantaneously. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-09-30 Ali ParandehGheibi , Mardavij Roozbehani , Asuman Ozdaglar , Munther A Dahleh

Recovery of society after a large scale disaster generally consists of two phases, short- and long-term recoveries. The main goal of the short-term recovery is to bounce the damaged system back to the operating standards enabling residents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-30 Vasily Lubashevskiy , Taro Kanno , Kazuo Furuta

We examine how monetary shocks spread throughout an economic model characterized by sticky prices and general equilibrium, where the pricing strategies of firms are interlinked, fostering a mutually beneficial relationship. In this dynamic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-01 Lambert Dong

In the aftermath of an extreme natural hazard, community residents must have access to functioning food retailers to maintain food security. Food security is dependent on supporting critical infrastructure systems, including electricity,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Saeed Nozhati , Yugandhar Sarkale , Bruce R. Ellingwood , Edwin K. P. Chong , Hussam Mahmoud

Restoring operation of critical infrastructure systems after catastrophic events is an important issue, inspiring work in multiple fields, including network science, civil engineering, and operations research. We consider the problem of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-11-21 Andrew M. Smith , Márton Pósfai , Martin Rohden , Andrés D. Gonzáles , Leonardo Dueńas-Osorio , Raissa M. D'Souza

Since several years, the fragility of global supply chains (GSCs) is at historically high levels. In the same time, the landscape of hybrid threats is expanding; new forms of hybrid threats create different types of uncertainties. This…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-22 d'Artis Kancs

After disasters, distribution networks have to be restored by repair, reconfiguration, and power dispatch. During the restoration process, changes can occur in real time that deviate from the situations considered in pre-designed planning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-20 Jianfeng Fu , Alfredo Nunez , Bart De Schutter

Large-scale power failures are induced by nearly all natural disasters from hurricanes to wild fires. A fundamental problem is whether and how recovery guided by government policies is able to meet the challenge of a wide range of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Amir Hossein Afsharinejad , Chuanyi Ji , Robert Wilcox

In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis the role of strongly interconnected markets in fostering systemic instability has been increasingly acknowledged. Trade networks of commodities are susceptible to deleterious cascades of supply…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-15 Peter Klimek , Michael Obersteiner , Stefan Thurner

We present an open-source Python framework for modelling cascading physical climate risk in a spatial supply-chain economy. The framework integrates geospatial flood hazards with an agent-based model of firms and households, enabling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Yara Mohajerani

With the increasing frequency of natural disasters, operators must prioritize improvements in the existing electric power grid infrastructure to enhance the resilience of the grid. Resilience to extreme weather events necessitates lowering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Anamika Dubey , Josue Campos do Prado

Distress propagation occurs in connected networks, its rate and extent being dependent on network topology. To study this, we choose economic production networks as a paradigm. An economic network can be examined at many levels: linkages…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Ashish Kumar , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti , Tushar Nandi

Food security can be threatened by extreme natural hazard events for households of all social classes within a community. To address food security issues following a natural disaster, the recovery of several elements of the built…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-06-10 Saeed Nozhati , Yugandhar Sarkale , Bruce R. Ellingwood , Edwin K. P. Chong , Hussam Mahmoud