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A novel data-driven constitutive modeling approach is proposed, which combines the physics-informed nature of modeling based on continuum thermodynamics with the benefits of machine learning. This approach is demonstrated on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Kshitiz Upadhyay , Jan N. Fuhg , Nikolaos Bouklas , K. T. Ramesh

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

Simulation of complex dynamical systems arising in many applications is computationally challenging due to their size and complexity. Model order reduction, machine learning, and other types of surrogate modeling techniques offer cheaper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Steven Roberts , Andrey A Popov , Arash Sarshar , Adrian Sandu

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

Understanding structure-property relations is essential to optimally design materials for specific applications. Two-scale simulations are often employed to analyze the effect of the microstructure on a component's macroscopic properties.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Theron Guo , Francesco A. B. Silva , Ondřej Rokoš , Karen Veroy

Concurrent multiscale finite element analysis (FE2) is a powerful approach for high-fidelity modeling of materials for which a suitable macroscopic constitutive model is not available. However, the extreme computational effort associated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-16 I. B. C. M. Rocha , P. Kerfriden , F. P. van der Meer

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

Oilfield development related decisions are made using reservoir simulation-based optimization study in which different production scenarios and well controls are compared. Such simulations are computationally expensive and so surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Ajitabh Kumar

Gaussian process surrogates are a popular alternative to directly using computationally expensive simulation models. When the simulation output consists of many responses, dimension-reduction techniques are often employed to construct these…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Moses Y-H. Chan , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Estimating the probability of failure for complex real-world systems using high-fidelity computational models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when the probability is small. Exploiting low-fidelity models can make this process…

Surrogate strategies are used widely for uncertainty quantification of groundwater models in order to improve computational efficiency. However, their application to dynamic multiphase flow problems is hindered by the curse of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-02 Shaoxing Mo , Yinhao Zhu , Nicholas Zabaras , Xiaoqing Shi , Jichun Wu

Many physics and engineering applications demand Partial Differential Equations (PDE) property evaluations that are traditionally computed with resource-intensive high-fidelity numerical solvers. Data-driven surrogate models provide an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Raphaël Pestourie , Youssef Mroueh , Chris Rackauckas , Payel Das , Steven G. Johnson

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmed Mohamed Eisa Nasr , Ali Elham , Haris Moazam Sheikh

Estimation of patient-specific model parameters is important for personalized modeling, although sparse and noisy clinical data can introduce significant uncertainty in the estimated parameter values. This importance source of uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-04 Jwala Dhamala , John L. Sapp , B. Milan Horácek , Linwei Wang

The complex and computationally expensive nature of landscape evolution models pose significant challenges in the inference and optimisation of unknown parameters. Bayesian inference provides a methodology for estimation and uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , Arpit Kapoor , R. Dietmar Müller

A surrogate model that accurately predicts distribution system voltages is crucial for reliable smart grid planning and operation. This letter proposes a fixed-point data-driven surrogate modeling method that employs a limited dataset to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Hoang Tien Nguyen , Young-Jin Kim , Dae-Hyun Choi