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Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is widely applied in fields such as industry, healthcare, and finance, aiming to extract key features from complex time series data for accurate decision-making and prediction. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Mingsen Du , Meng Chen , Yongjian Li , Cun Ji , Shoushui Wei

When is heterogeneity in the composition of an autonomous robotic team beneficial and when is it detrimental? We investigate and answer this question in the context of a minimally viable model that examines the role of heterogeneous speeds…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Aviv Adler , Oscar Mickelin , Ragesh K. Ramachandran , Gaurav S. Sukhatme , Sertac Karaman

Beta regression models are a suitable choice for continuous response variables on the unity interval. Random effects add further flexibility to the models and accommodate data structures such as hierarchical, repeated measures and…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner H. Bonat , Paulo J. Ribeiro , Walmes Marque Zeviani

Studies often estimate associations between an outcome and multiple variates. For example, studies of diagnostic test accuracy estimate sensitivity and specificity, and studies of predictive and prognostic factors typically estimate…

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Many data sets contain an inherent multilevel structure, for example, because of repeated measurements of the same observational units. Taking this structure into account is critical for the accuracy and calibration of any statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-07 Topi Paananen , Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

Meta-analysis combines pertinent information from existing studies to provide an overall estimate of population parameters/effect sizes, as well as to quantify and explain the differences between studies. However, testing the between-study…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-13 Han Du , Ge Jiang , Zijun Ke

This paper introduces and analyzes a framework that accommodates general heterogeneity in regression modeling. It demonstrates that regression models with fixed or time-varying parameters can be estimated using the OLS and time-varying OLS…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Liudas Giraitis , George Kapetanios , Yufei Li , Alexia Ventouri

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

In this paper we combine two powerful computational techniques, well-tempered metadynamics and time lagged independent component analysis. The aim is to develop a new tool for studying rare events and exploring complex free energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-08 James McCarty , Michele Parrinello

Independently trained machine learning models tend to learn similar features. Given an ensemble of independently trained models, this results in correlated predictions and common failure modes. Previous attempts focusing on decorrelation of…

This paper proposes a novel federated algorithm that leverages momentum-based variance reduction with adaptive learning to address non-convex settings across heterogeneous data. We intend to minimize communication and computation overhead,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Dipanwita Thakur , Antonella Guzzo , Giancarlo Fortino , Sajal K. Das

This paper offers a new approach to modeling and forecasting of nonstationary time series with applications to volatility modeling for financial data. The approach is based on the assumption of local homogeneity: for every time point, there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Vladimir Spokoiny

We collect robust proposals given in the field of regression models with heteroscedastic errors. Our motivation stems from the fact that the practitioner frequently faces the confluence of two phenomena in the context of data analysis:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Conceição Amado , Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Isabel M. Rodrigues

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

Federated Learning is a novel paradigm that involves learning from data samples distributed across a large network of clients while the data remains local. It is, however, known that federated learning is prone to multiple system challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Amirhossein Reisizadeh , Isidoros Tziotis , Hamed Hassani , Aryan Mokhtari , Ramtin Pedarsani

Measurement involves the determination of quantitative estimates of physical quantities from experiment, along with estimates of their associated uncertainties. Herewith an experimental system model is the key to extracting information from…

Applications · Statistics 2008-09-01 Vladimir B. Bokov

This paper studies nonparametric local (over-)identification and the semiparametric efficiency in modern causal frameworks. We develop a unified approach that begins by translating structural models with latent variables into their induced…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Xiaohong Chen , Haitian Xie

Genetic association analyses often involve data from multiple potentially-heterogeneous subgroups. The expected amount of heterogeneity can vary from modest (e.g., a typical meta-analysis) to large (e.g., a strong gene--environment…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-15 Xiaoquan Wen , Matthew Stephens

Contemporary statistical publications rely on simulation to evaluate performance of new methods and compare them with established methods. In the context of meta-analysis of log-odds-ratios, we investigate how the ways in which simulations…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin , Ilyas Bakbergenuly