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In many scientific problems such as video surveillance, modern genomics, and finance, data are often collected from diverse measurements across time that exhibit time-dependent heterogeneous properties. Thus, it is important to not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Lin Lin

Typical deep learning approaches to modeling high-dimensional data often result in complex models that do not easily reveal a new understanding of the data. Research in the deep learning field is very actively pursuing new methods to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Charles Anderson , Jason Stock , David Anderson

As an important technique for modeling the knowledge states of learners, the traditional knowledge tracing (KT) models have been widely used to support intelligent tutoring systems and MOOC platforms. Driven by the fast advancements of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Yu Lu , Deliang Wang , Qinggang Meng , Penghe Chen

Feature engineering is required to obtain better results for time series forecasting, and decomposition is a crucial one. One decomposition approach often cannot be used for numerous forecasting tasks since the standard time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Liwang Zhou , Jing Gao

In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

Fine-grained visual classification (FGVC) is challenging but more critical than traditional classification tasks. It requires distinguishing different subcategories with the inherently subtle intra-class object variations. Previous works…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Zhenhuan Huang , Xiaoyue Duan , Bo Zhao , Jinhu Lü , Baochang Zhang

End-to-end data-driven machine learning methods often have exuberant requirements in terms of quality and quantity of training data which are often impractical to fulfill in real-world applications. This is specifically true in time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Muhammad Ali Chattha , Ludger van Elst , Muhammad Imran Malik , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

The time series classification literature has expanded rapidly over the last decade, with many new classification approaches published each year. The research focus has mostly been on improving the accuracy and efficiency of classifiers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Thach Le Nguyen , Severin Gsponer , Iulia Ilie , Georgiana Ifrim

Unlike MLPs, Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) expose explicit learnable edge functions on every connection, enabling mechanistic explanation in time-series forecasting. This paper introduces Temporal Functional Circuits, a framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Naveen Mysore

Dynamic concepts in time series are crucial for understanding complex systems such as financial markets, healthcare, and online activity logs. These concepts help reveal structures and behaviors in sequential data for better decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Kunpeng Xu , Lifei Chen , Shengrui Wang

Interpretability and stability are two important features that are desired in many contemporary big data applications arising in economics and finance. While the former is enjoyed to some extent by many existing forecasting approaches, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi , Yoshimasa Uematsu

We introduce a local surrogate approach for explainable time-series forecasting. An initially non-interpretable predictive model to improve the forecast of a classical time-series 'base model' is used. 'Explainability' of the correction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Alfredo Lopez , Florian Sobieczky

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

The classification of time-series data is pivotal for streaming data and comes with many challenges. Although the amount of publicly available datasets increases rapidly, deep neural models are only exploited in a few areas. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Dominique Mercier , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Hengyu Ye , Jiadong Chen , Shijin Gong , Fuxin Jiang , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Xiaofeng Gao

Deep learning is revolutionizing weather forecasting, with new data-driven models achieving accuracy on par with operational physical models for medium-term predictions. However, these models often lack interpretability, making their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 David Millard , Arielle Carr , Stéphane Gaudreault

Financial forecasting increasingly uses large neural network models, but their opacity raises challenges for trust and regulatory compliance. We present several approaches to explainable and reliable AI in finance. \emph{First}, we describe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Albi Isufaj , Pablo Mollá , Helmut Prendinger

Financial forecasting plays an important role in making informed decisions for financial stakeholders, specifically in the stock exchange market. In a traditional setting, investors commonly rely on the equity research department for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Sahar Arshad , Seemab Latif , Ahmad Salman , Rabia Latif

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi
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