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Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Accurate forecasting of financial markets remains a long-standing challenge due to complex temporal and often latent dependencies, non-linear dynamics, and high volatility. Building on our earlier recurrent neural network framework, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Shaswat Mohanty

We present a conformal prediction method for time series using the Transformer architecture to capture long-memory and long-range dependencies. Specifically, we use the Transformer decoder as a conditional quantile estimator to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Decoder-only transformers compute the conditional probability of the next token from a sequence of past observations. This paper derives, from first principles, inference architectures that solve the same prediction problem - and in doing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Aditya Kudre , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Transformers are increasingly adopted for modeling and forecasting time-series, yet their internal mechanisms remain poorly understood from a dynamical systems perspective. In contrast to classical autoregressive and state-space models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Gregory Duthé , Nikolaos Evangelou , Wei Liu , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Eleni Chatzi

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

This research aims to leverage machine learning to improve stock price prediction and support informed investment decisions related to buying, selling, and holding assets. Specifically, this work investigates transformer-based models for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Marie Soehl Coolsaet , Roberto Gallardo , Zhen Gao

Transformer structure, stacked by a sequence of encoder and decoder network layers, achieves significant development in neural machine translation. However, vanilla Transformer mainly exploits the top-layer representation, assuming the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Jian Yang , Yuwei Yin , Liqun Yang , Shuming Ma , Haoyang Huang , Dongdong Zhang , Furu Wei , Zhoujun Li

Predictive process monitoring aims to support the execution of a process during runtime with various predictions about the further evolution of a process instance. In the last years a plethora of deep learning architectures have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Martin Käppel , Lars Ackermann , Stefan Jablonski , Simon Härtl

It has been over six years since the Transformer architecture was put forward. Surprisingly, the vanilla Transformer architecture is still widely used today. One reason is that the lack of deep understanding and comprehensive interpretation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Zhe Chen

Transformers have achieved great success in many artificial intelligence fields, such as natural language processing, computer vision, and audio processing. Therefore, it is natural to attract lots of interest from academic and industry…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Tianyang Lin , Yuxin Wang , Xiangyang Liu , Xipeng Qiu

This study investigates the application of Transfer Learning (TL) on Transformer architectures to enhance building energy consumption forecasting. Transformers are a relatively new deep learning architecture, which has served as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Robert Spencer , Surangika Ranathunga , Mikael Boulic , Andries van Heerden , Teo Susnjak

Tabular data remains a challenging domain for generative models. In particular, the standard Variational Autoencoder (VAE) architecture, typically composed of multilayer perceptrons, struggles to model relationships between features,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Aníbal Silva , Moisés Santos , André Restivo , Carlos Soares

Neural methods of molecule property prediction require efficient encoding of structure and property relationship to be accurate. Recent work using graph algorithms shows limited generalization in the latent molecule encoding space. We build…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-26 Prateeth Nayak , Andrew Silberfarb , Ran Chen , Tulay Muezzinoglu , John Byrnes

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) is a fundamental problem in numerous real-world applications. Recently, Transformer has become the de facto solution for MTSF, especially for the long-term cases. However, except for the one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Zanwei Zhou , Ruizhe Zhong , Chen Yang , Yan Wang , Xiaokang Yang , Wei Shen

Predicting volatility is important for asset predicting, option pricing and hedging strategies because it cannot be directly observed in the financial market. The Black-Scholes option pricing model is one of the most widely used models by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-01 Soohan Kim , Seok-Bae Yun , Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Muhyun Lee , Youngjoon Hong

Transformer becomes the state-of-the-art translation model, while it is not well studied how each intermediate component contributes to the model performance, which poses significant challenges for designing optimal architectures. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Wenxuan Wang , Zhaopeng Tu
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