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Related papers: Data assimilation with model errors

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This article develops a general framework for continuous deterministic data assimilation for semilinear parabolic equations by means of evolution equations. Introducing a nudged model driven by partial observations, the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Gianmarco Del Sarto , Matthias Hieber , Filippo Palma , Tarek Zöchling

Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

This paper improves the spectrally-filtered direct-insertion downscaling method for discrete-in-time data assimilation by introducing a relaxation parameter that overcomes a constraint on the observation frequency. Numerical simulations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Emine Celik , Eric Olson

We propose, analyze, and test a novel continuous data assimilation reduced order model (DA-ROM) for simulating incompressible flows. While ROMs have a long history of success on certain problems with recurring dominant structures, they tend…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Camille Zerfas , Leo G. Rebholz , Michael Schneier , Traian Iliescu

Nudging is a popular algorithmic strategy in numerical filtering to deal with the problem of inference in high-dimensional dynamical systems. We demonstrate in this paper that general nudging techniques can also tackle another crucial…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-21 Fabian Gonzalez , O. Deniz Akyildiz , Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Data assimilation is a method that combines observations (that is, real world data) of a state of a system with model output for that system in order to improve the estimate of the state of the system and thereby the model output. The model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Melina A. Freitag

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

In this article, we prove that data assimilation by feedback nudging can be achieved for the three-dimensional quasi-geostrophic equation in a simplified scenario using only large spatial scale observables on the dynamical boundary. On this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Michael S. Jolly , Vincent R. Martinez , Edriss S. Titi

This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

While the formulation of most data assimilation schemes assumes an unbiased observation model error, in real applications, model error with nontrivial biases is unavoidable. A practical example is the error in the radiative transfer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 John Harlim , Tyrus Berry

Data assimilation is the process to fuse information from priors, observations of nature, and numerical models, in order to obtain best estimates of the parameters or state of a physical system of interest. Presence of large errors in some…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu , Michael Ng , Elias Nino-Ruiz

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

Motivation: There is a growing need to integrate mechanistic models of biological processes with computational methods in healthcare in order to improve prediction. We apply data assimilation in the context of Type 2 diabetes to understand…

Sparse sensor networks in weather and ocean modeling observe only a small fraction of the system state, which destabilizes standard nudging-based data assimilation. We introduce Interpolated Discrepancy Data Assimilation (IDDA), which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Tong Wu , Humberto Godinez , Vitaliy Gyrya , James M. Hyman

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

We consider a recently introduced continuous data assimilation (CDA) approach for downscaling a coarse resolution configuration of the 2D Benard convection equations into a finer grid. In this CDA, a nudging term, estimated as the misfit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-22 M. U. Altaf , E. S. Titi , O. M. Knio , L. Zhao , M. F. McCabe , I. Hoteit

Numerical simulation for climate modeling resolving all important scales is a computationally taxing process. Therefore, to circumvent this issue a low resolution simulation is performed, which is subsequently corrected for bias using…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-08 Aniruddha Bora , Khemraj Shukla , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Ruby Leung , George Em Karniadakis

This paper describes a new method for reducing the error in a classifier. It uses an error correction update that includes the very simple rule of either adding or subtracting the error adjustment, based on whether the variable value is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Kieran Greer