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We analyze in detail, beyond the usual scaling hypothesis, the finite-size convergence of static quantities toward the thermodynamic limit. In this way we are able to obtain sequences of pseudo-critical points which display a faster…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-10 M. Roncaglia , L. Campos Venuti , C. Degli Esposti Boschi

Change point detection in high dimensional data has found considerable interest in recent years. Most of the literature either designs methodology for a retrospective analysis, where the whole sample is already available when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Josua Gösmann , Christina Stoehr , Johannes Heiny , Holger Dette

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change observations are assumed to be stationary with a known distribution, while the post-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-19 Yuchen Liang , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider the problem of change-point estimation of the instantaneous phase of an observed time series. Such change points, or phase shifts, can be markers of information transfer in complex systems; their analysis occurring in geology,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-17 William Marshall , Paul Marriott

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial for ensuring the reliability of machine learning models deployed in real-world autonomous systems. However, existing approaches typically quantify task-level output prediction uncertainty without…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Luke Chen , Junyao Wang , Trier Mortlock , Pramod Khargonekar , Mohammad Abdullah Al Faruque

The problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in autoregressive (AR) models is investigated. A system is being monitored with sequentially observed samples. At some unknown time, a disturbance signal occurs and changes the distribution of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-16 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou

The problem of decentralized sequential change detection is considered, where an abrupt change occurs in an area monitored by a number of sensors; the sensors transmit their data to a fusion center, subject to bandwidth and energy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Georgios Fellouris , George V. Moustakides

In this work, we take the initiative in studying the information-theoretic tradeoff between communication and quickest change detection (QCD) under an integrated sensing and communication setting. We formally establish a joint communication…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Daewon Seo , Sung Hoon Lim

Modern quantum devices require high-precision Hamiltonian dynamics, but environmental noise can cause calibrated Hamiltonian parameters to drift over time, necessitating expensive recalibration. Detecting when recalibration is needed is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Steven T. Flammia , Dmitrii Khitrin , Muzhou Ma , Jamie Sikora , Yu Tong , Alice Zheng

Distributed change-point detection has been a fundamental problem when performing real-time monitoring using sensor-networks. We propose a distributed detection algorithm, where each sensor only exchanges CUSUM statistic with their…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-09 Qinghua Liu , Rui Zhang , Yao Xie

We study the problem of covert quickest change detection in a discrete-time setting, where a sequence of observations undergoes a distributional change at an unknown time. Unlike classical formulations, we consider a covert adversary who…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Amir Reza Ramtin , Philippe Nain , Don Towsley

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

In this paper, we consider a non-Bayesian sequential change detection based on the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) algorithm employed by an energy harvesting sensor where the distributions before and after the change are assumed to be known. In a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-15 Subhrakanti Dey

A finite-horizon variant of the quickest change detection (QCD) problem that is of relevance to learning in non-stationary environments is studied. The metric characterizing false alarms is the probability of a false alarm occurring before…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

An arbitrary quantum-optical process (channel) can be completely characterized by probing it with coherent states using the recently developed coherent-state quantum process tomography (QPT) [Lobino et al., Science 322, 563 (2008)]. In…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-08-09 Xiang-Bin Wang , Zong-Wen Yu , Jia-Zhong Hu , Adam Miranowicz , Franco Nori

We consider the problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in a signal where its observations are obtained using a set of actions, and switching from one action to another comes with a cost. The objective is to design a stopping rule…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

Consider $d$ dependent change point tests, each based on a CUSUM-statistic. We provide an asymptotic theory that allows us to deal with the maximum over all test statistics as both the sample size $n$ and $d$ tend to infinity. We achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Moritz Jirak

In the problem of quickest change detection (QCD), a change occurs at some unknown time in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations. This work studies a QCD problem where the change is either a bad change, which we aim to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Yu-Zhen Janice Chen , Jinhang Zuo , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Don Towsley