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For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

The inference of thermodynamic quantities from the description of an only partially accessible physical system is a central challenge in stochastic thermodynamics. A common approach is coarse-graining, which maps the dynamics of such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-19 Jann van der Meer , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

In Markov networks, measurement blackouts with unknown frequency compromise observations such that thermodynamic quantities can no longer be inferred reliably. In particular, the observed currents neither discern equilibrium from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-19 Alexander M. Maier , Benjamin Häsler , Udo Seifert

Interpreting partial information collected from systems subject to noise is a key problem across scientific disciplines. Theoretical frameworks often focus on the dynamics of variables that result from coarse-graining the internal states of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-18 Pedro E. Harunari , Annwesha Dutta , Matteo Polettini , Édgar Roldán

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We address the problem of inferring the topology of a wireless network using limited observational data. Specifically, we assume that we can detect when a node is transmitting, but no further information regarding the transmission is…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-07-03 James Martin , Tristan Pryer , Luca Zanetti

Stochastic thermodynamics allows us to define heat and work for microscopic systems far from thermodynamic equilibrium, based on observations of their stochastic dynamics. However, a complete account of the energetics necessitates that all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Jannik Ehrich

Complex networks have played an important role in describing real complex systems since the end of the last century. Recently, research on real-world data sets reports intermittent interaction among social individuals. In this paper, we pay…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Ziyan Zeng , Minyu Feng , Jürgen Kurths

Given a set of snapshots from a temporal network we develop, analyze, and experimentally validate a so-called network interpolation scheme. Our method allows us to build a plausible, albeit random, sequence of graphs that transition between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Thomas Reeves , Anil Damle , Austin R. Benson

Using an information theoretic point of view, we investigate how a dynamics acting on a network can be coarse grained through the use of graph partitions. Specifically, we are interested in how aggregating the state space of a Markov…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-07 Mauro Faccin , Michael T. Schaub , Jean-Charles Delvenne

Network-topology inference from (vertex) signal observations is a prominent problem across data-science and engineering disciplines. Most existing schemes assume that observations from all nodes are available, but in many practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Andrei Buciulea , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques

We investigate the increasingly prominent task of jointly inferring multiple networks from nodal observations. While most joint inference methods assume that observations are available at all nodes, we consider the realistic and more…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-17 Madeline Navarro , Samuel Rey , Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

We analyse diffusion dynamics on weakly-coupled networks (interconnected networks) by means of separation of time scales. Using an adiabatic approximation we reduced the system dynamics to a Markov chain with aggregated variables and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-14 Grzegorz Siudem , Janusz A. Hołyst

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

A central task in stochastic thermodynamics is the estimation of entropy production for partially accessible Markov networks. We establish an effective transition-based description for such networks with transitions that are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-20 Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

This paper presents a unified framework for analyzing the input-output behavior of discrete time complex networks viewed as open systems. Importantly, we focus on systems that are inherently modeled in discrete time-such as opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-25 Amirhossein Nazerian , MAlbor Asllani , Melvyn Tyloo , Francesco Sorrentino

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

We consider the task of topology discovery of sparse random graphs using end-to-end random measurements (e.g., delay) between a subset of nodes, referred to as the participants. The rest of the nodes are hidden, and do not provide any…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-06 Animashree Anandkumar , Avinatan Hassidim , Jonathan Kelner
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