Related papers: Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility with …
In this article, we study the numerical approximation of stochastic differential equations driven by a multidimensional fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter greater than 1/3. We introduce an implementable scheme for these…
Nonstationarity of real-life time series requires model adaptation. In classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH there is assumed some arbitrarily chosen dependence type. To avoid their bias, we will focus on novel more agnostic approach: moving…
We consider fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameters from (1/2,1). We found that the increment of a fractional Brownian motion can be represented as the sum of a two independent Gaussian processes one of which is smooth in the…
The fractional stable motion is a prototypical stochastic process exhibiting both heavy tails and long-range dependence, parameterized via a stability index $\alpha$ and a Hurst exponent $H$. We consider a nonstationary extension where the…
We statistically analyse a multivariate HJM diffusion model with stochastic volatility. The volatility process of the first factor is left totally unspecified while the volatility of the second factor is the product of an unknown process…
This paper develops a Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling (HBM) framework for uncertainty quantification of Finite Element (FE) models based on modal information. This framework uses an existing Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) approach to identify…
The present article is devoted to a fine study of the convergence of renormalized weighted quadratic and cubic variations of a fractional Brownian motion $B$ with Hurst index $H$. In the quadratic (resp. cubic) case, when $H<1/4$ (resp.…
In this presentation, we introduce a new method for change point analysis on the Hurst index for a piecewise fractional Brownian motion. We first set the model and the statistical problem. The proposed method is a transposition of the FDpV…
We investigate the sharp large deviation properties of the energy and the maximum likelihood estimator for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index greater than one half.
High-frequency measurements and images acquired from various sources in the real world often possess a degree of self-similarity and inherent regular scaling. When data look like a noise, the scaling exponent may be the only informative…
This paper deals with the problems of consistence and strong consistence of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. A central limit theorem for…
We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…
This note is devoted to show how to push forward the algebraic integration setting in order to treat differential systems driven by a noisy input with H\"older regularity greater than 1/4. After recalling how to treat the case of ordinary…
This paper introduces a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with stochastic volatility-in-mean and time-varying skewness. Unlike previous approaches, the proposed model allows both volatility and skewness to directly affect macroeconomic…
We propose and test a method to interpolate sparsely sampled signals by a stochastic process with a broad range of spatial and/or temporal scales. To this end, we extend the notion of a fractional Brownian bridge, defined as fractional…
The question of the volatility roughness is interpreted in the framework of a data-reconstructed fractional volatility model, where volatility is driven by fractional noise. Some examples are worked out and also, using Malliavin calculus…
We estimate the finite-time Lyapunov exponents for a stochastic partial differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fbm) with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$ close to a bifurcation of pitchfork type. We characterize regions…
Considering that both the entropy-based market information and the Hurst exponent are useful tools for determining whether the efficient market hypothesis holds for a given asset, we study the link between the two approaches. We thus…
The work developed in the paper concerns the multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) viewed through the lens of the wavelet transform. After recalling some basic properties on the mfBm, we calculate the correlation structure of its…
We derive a new theoretical lower bound for the expected supremum of drifted fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$ over (in)finite time horizon. Extensive simulation experiments indicate that our lower bound outperforms…