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We exploit cutting-edge deep learning methodologies to explore the predictability of high-frequency Limit Order Book mid-price changes for a heterogeneous set of stocks traded on the NASDAQ exchange. In so doing, we release `LOBFrame', an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Antonio Briola , Silvia Bartolucci , Tomaso Aste

Despite deep-learning being state-of-the-art for data-driven model predictions, it has not yet found frequent application in ecology. Given the low sample size typical in many environmental research fields, the default choice for the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-29 Marieke Wesselkamp , Niklas Moser , Maria Kalweit , Joschka Boedecker , Carsten F. Dormann

Big data, both in its structured and unstructured formats, have brought in unforeseen challenges in economics and business. How to organize, classify, and then analyze such data to obtain meaningful insights are the ever-going research…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Viet Trinh

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Alex Boyd , Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

Deep learning models are yielding increasingly better performances thanks to multiple factors. To be successful, model may have large number of parameters or complex architectures and be trained on large dataset. This leads to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Jean-Roch Vlimant , Junqi Yin

Human activities generate various event sequences such as taxi trip records, bike-sharing pick-ups, crime occurrence, and infectious disease transmission. The point process is widely used in many applications to predict such events related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Yoshiaki Takimoto , Yusuke Tanaka , Tomoharu Iwata , Maya Okawa , Hideaki Kim , Hiroyuki Toda , Takeshi Kurashima

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

Recovering the turbulence-degraded point spread function from a single intensity image is important for a variety of imaging applications. Here, a deep learning model based on a convolutional neural network is applied to intensity images to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-28 Abu Bucker Siddik , Steven Sandoval , David Voelz , Laura E Boucheron , Luis Varela

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

The method of choice to study one-dimensional strongly interacting many body quantum systems is based on matrix product states and operators. Such method allows to explore the most relevant, and numerically manageable, portion of an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-10 Chu Guo , Zhanming Jie , Wei Lu , Dario Poletti

The importance of domain knowledge in enhancing model performance and making reliable predictions in the real-world is critical. This has led to an increased focus on specific model properties for interpretability. We focus on incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Akhil Gupta , Naman Shukla , Lavanya Marla , Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Kartik Yellepeddi

Deep neural networks are a family of computational models that are naturally suited to the analysis of hierarchical data such as, for instance, sequential data with the use of recurrent neural networks. In the other hand, ordinal regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-08 Louis Falissard , Karim Bounebache , Grégoire Rey

Higher-order networks are efficient representations of sequential data. Unlike the classic first-order network approach, they capture indirect dependencies between items composing the input sequences by the use of \textit{memory-nodes}. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-08 Célestin Coquidé , Julie Queiros , François Queyroi

The field of deep learning has witnessed a remarkable shift towards extremely compute- and memory-intensive neural networks. These newer larger models have enabled researchers to advance state-of-the-art tools across a variety of fields.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Daniel Nichols , Siddharth Singh , Shu-Huai Lin , Abhinav Bhatele

In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko
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