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Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is vital for scientific and policy research. However, identifying and evaluating heterogeneous treatment effects pose significant challenges due to the typically unknown subgroup structure.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Larry A. Wasserman , Edward H. Kennedy

Instrumental variable methods are widely used in medical and social science research to draw causal conclusions when the treatment and outcome are confounded by unmeasured confounding variables. One important feature of such studies is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Bo Zhang , Siyu Heng , Emily J. MacKay , Ting Ye

The randomization inference literature studying randomized controlled trials (RCTs) assumes that units' potential outcomes are deterministic. This assumption is unlikely to hold, as stochastic shocks may take place during the experiment. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Antoine Deeb , Clément de Chaisemartin

The most dangerous error in clinical trial interpretation is equating p > 0.05 with no effect. This review provides a practical, algorithm-based framework for classifying randomized controlled trial (RCT) results into six distinct…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Ibrahim Halil Tanboga

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are ideal for estimating causal effects, because the distributions of background covariates are similar in expectation across treatment groups. When estimating causal effects using observational data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Anthony D. Scotina , Roee Gutman

Background: When planning a cluster randomized trial, evaluators often have access to an enumerated cohort representing the target population of clusters. Practicalities of conducting the trial, such as the need to oversample clusters with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Sarah E. Robertson , Jon A. Steingrimsson , Issa J. Dahabreh

The high rate of false alarms in intensive care units (ICUs) is one of the top challenges of using medical technology in hospitals. These false alarms are often caused by patients' movements, detachment of monitoring sensors, or different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Behzad Ghazanfari , Fatemeh Afghah , Kayvan Najarian , Sajad Mousavi , Jonathan Gryak , James Todd

Identifying influential nodes in complex networks is a fundamental task in network analysis with wide-ranging applications across domains. While deep learning has advanced node influence detection, existing supervised approaches remain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Yanmei Hu , Yihang Wu , Bing Sun , Xue Yue , Biao Cai , Xiangtao Li , Yang Chen

When deploying Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents into a physical system, we must ensure that these agents are well aware of the underlying constraints. In many real-world problems, however, the constraints are often hard to specify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Guiliang Liu , Yudong Luo , Ashish Gaurav , Kasra Rezaee , Pascal Poupart

In health and social sciences, it is critically important to identify subgroups of the study population where there is notable heterogeneity of treatment effects (HTE) with respect to the population average. Decision trees have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-28 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Riccardo Cadei , Kwonsang Lee , Francesca Dominici

Estimating individualized treatment rules (ITRs) is crucial for tailoring interventions in precision medicine. Typical ITR estimation methods rely on conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) to guide treatment assignments. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Peng Wu , Qing Jiang , Shanshan Luo , Zhi Geng

A randomized trial allows estimation of the causal effect of an intervention compared to a control in the overall population and in subpopulations defined by baseline characteristics. Often, however, clinical questions also arise regarding…

While randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating causal treatment effects, their limited sample sizes and restrictive criteria make it difficult to extrapolate to a broader population. Observational data, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Stephanie Riley , Ricardo Silva , Matthew Sperrin

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) aims to recover independent latent variables from observed mixtures thereof. Causal Representation Learning (CRL) aims instead to infer causally related (thus often statistically dependent) latent…

Inverse Constrained Reinforcement Learning (ICRL) is the task of inferring the implicit constraints that expert agents adhere to, based on their demonstration data. As an emerging research topic, ICRL has received considerable attention in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Guiliang Liu , Sheng Xu , Shicheng Liu , Ashish Gaurav , Sriram Ganapathi Subramanian , Pascal Poupart

Multi-Regional Clinical Trials (MRCTs) play a central role in the development of new therapies by enabling the simultaneous evaluation of drug efficacy and safety across diverse global populations. Assessing the consistency of treatment…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Kunhai Qing , Xinru Ren , Jin Xu , Menggang Yu

Many classification tasks involve imbalanced data, in which a class is largely underrepresented. Several techniques consists in creating a rebalanced dataset on which a classifier is trained. In this paper, we study theoretically such a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-11 Moria Mayala , Erwan Scornet , Charles Tillier , Olivier Wintenberger

Recurrent events, characterized by the repeated occurrence of the same event in an individual, are a common type of data in medical research. Motivated by cancer recurrences, we aim to estimate the optimal individualized treatment regime…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Zi-Shu Zhan , Jin-Lun Zhang , Chen Shi , Xiao-Han Xu , Chun-Quan Ou

The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

Classification problems are essential statistical tasks that form the foundation of decision-making across various fields, including patient prognosis and treatment strategies for critical conditions. Consequently, evaluating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Jun Tamura , Yuki Itaya , Kenichi Hayashi , Kouji Yamamoto