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Surrogate Data Analysis (SDA) is a statistical hypothesis testing framework for the determination of weak chaos in time series dynamics. Existing SDA procedures do not account properly for the rich structures observed in stock return…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexandros Leontitsis , Constantinos E. Vorlow

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is an important problem across many domains. In order to accurately estimate such treatment effects, one typically relies on data from observational studies or randomized experiments. Currently,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-28 Tobias Hatt , Jeroen Berrevoets , Alicia Curth , Stefan Feuerriegel , Mihaela van der Schaar

Molecular dynamics simulations are powerful tools to extract the microscopic mechanisms characterizing the properties of soft materials. We recently introduced machine learning surrogates for molecular dynamics simulations of soft materials…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-10-29 J. C. S. Kadupitiya , Nasim Anousheh , Vikram Jadhao

Online media platforms often need to measure how frequently users are exposed to specific content attributes in order to evaluate trade-offs in A/B experiments. A direct approach is to sample content, label it using a high-quality rubric…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-19 Zehao Xu , Tony Paek , Kevin O'Sullivan , Attila Dobi

Multitask learning is widely used in practice to train a low-resource target task by augmenting it with multiple related source tasks. Yet, naively combining all the source tasks with a target task does not always improve the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Dongyue Li , Huy L. Nguyen , Hongyang R. Zhang

A surrogate model approximates the outputs of a solver of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with a low computational cost. In this article, we propose a method to build learning-based surrogates in the context of parameterized PDEs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Alejandro Ribés , Nawfal Benchekroun , Théo Delagnes

Data heterogeneity plays a pivotal role in determining the performance of machine learning (ML) systems. Traditional algorithms, which are typically designed to optimize average performance, often overlook the intrinsic diversity within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiashuo Liu , Peng Cui

The optimization of algorithm (hyper-)parameters is crucial for achieving peak performance across a wide range of domains, ranging from deep neural networks to solvers for hard combinatorial problems. The resulting algorithm configuration…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-31 Katharina Eggensperger , Marius Lindauer , Holger H. Hoos , Frank Hutter , Kevin Leyton-Brown

In this communication a new algorithm is proposed to produce surrogates for pseudoperiodic time series. By imposing a few constraints on the noise components of pseudoperiodic data sets, we devise an effective method to generate surrogates.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaodong Luo , Tomomichi Nakamura , Michael Small

We consider the problem of testing for treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies, and propose a nonparametric test based on multisample U-statistics. To account for potential confounders, we use reweighted data where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Maozhu Dai , Weining Shen , Hal S. Stern

Programmers and researchers are increasingly developing surrogates of programs, models of a subset of the observable behavior of a given program, to solve a variety of software development challenges. Programmers train surrogates from…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Alex Renda , Yi Ding , Michael Carbin

Machine learning models of accelerator systems (`surrogate models') are able to provide fast, accurate predictions of accelerator physics phenomena. However, approaches to date typically do not include measured input diagnostics, such as…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2021-04-06 Lipi Gupta , Auralee Edelen , Nicole Neveu , Aashwin Mishra , Christopher Mayes , Young-Kee Kim

We study the problem of model selection in causal inference, specifically for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. Unlike machine learning, there is no perfect analogue of cross-validation for model selection as we do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Divyat Mahajan , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Brady Neal , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We propose a framework for testing the homogeneity of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across multiple experimental and observational studies. Our approach leverages multiple randomized trials to assess whether treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Ana Armendariz , Martin Huber

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Neural network surrogate models have emerged as a promising approach to model solution fields for a wide variety of boundary value problems encountered in physical modeling. Stochastic problems represent an area of particularly high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Noah Wade , Kirubel Teferra

Rich meta-epidemiological data sets have been collected to explore associations between intervention effect estimates and study-level characteristics. Welton et al. proposed models for the analysis of meta-epidemiological data, but these…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-28 Kirsty Rhodes , David Mawdsley , Rebecca Turner , Hayley Jones , Jelena Savovic , Julian Higgins

As researchers increasingly rely on machine learning models and LLMs to annotate unstructured data, such as texts or images, various approaches have been proposed to correct bias in downstream statistical analysis. However, existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Kentaro Nakamura

Since real-world objects and their interactions are often multi-modal and multi-typed, heterogeneous networks have been widely used as a more powerful, realistic, and generic superclass of traditional homogeneous networks (graphs).…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Carl Yang , Yuxin Xiao , Yu Zhang , Yizhou Sun , Jiawei Han

Parametric reduced-order modelling often serves as a surrogate method for hemodynamics simulations to improve the computational efficiency in many-query scenarios or to perform real-time simulations. However, the snapshots of the method…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Dongwei Ye , Valeria Krzhizhanovskaya , Alfons G. Hoekstra