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These notes aim at presenting an overview of Bayesian statistics, the underlying concepts and application methodology that will be useful to astronomers seeking to analyse and interpret a wide variety of data about the Universe. The level…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-09 Roberto Trotta

Future precision cosmology from large-scale structure experiments including the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) and Euclid will probe wider and deeper cosmic volumes than those covered by previous surveys. The Cartesian power…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-12 Mike Shengbo Wang , Santiago Avila , Davide Bianchi , Robert Crittenden , Will J. Percival

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Gravitational lensing of distant galaxies can be exploited to infer the convergence field as a function of angular position on the sky. The statistics of this field, much like that of the cosmic microwave background (CMB), can be studied to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-07 Hee-Jong Seo , Masanori Sato , Scott Dodelson , Bhuvnesh Jain , Masahiro Takada

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Future surveys will access large volumes of space and hence very long wavelength fluctuations of the matter density and gravitational field. It has been argued that the set of secondary effects that affect the galaxy distribution,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-15 Christiane S. Lorenz , David Alonso , Pedro G. Ferreira

This work explores the relationships between galaxy sizes and related observable galaxy properties in a large volume cosmological hydrodynamical simulation. The objectives of this work are to both develop a better understanding of the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-10-30 Chad Schafer , Sukhdeep Singh , Yesukhei Jagvaral

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

Galaxy clusters, the pinnacle of structure formation in our universe, are a powerful cosmological probe. Several approaches have been proposed to express cluster number counts, but all these methods rely on empirical explicit scaling…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-10 Nicolas Cerardi , Marguerite Pierre , François Lanusse , Xavier Corap

The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Roberto Trotta

We present a comparison of simulation-based inference to full, field-based analytical inference in cosmological data analysis. To do so, we explore parameter inference for two cases where the information content is calculable analytically:…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-08 T. Lucas Makinen , Tom Charnock , Justin Alsing , Benjamin D. Wandelt

Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-30 Amir Shahmoradi

This work presents a joint and self-consistent Bayesian treatment of various foreground and target contaminations when inferring cosmological power-spectra and three dimensional density fields from galaxy redshift surveys. This is achieved…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-11 Jens Jasche , Guilhem Lavaux

We address the problem of inferring the three-dimensional matter distribution from a sparse set of one-dimensional quasar absorption spectra of the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest. Using a Bayesian forward modelling approach, we focus on extending…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Natalia Porqueres , Oliver Hahn , Jens Jasche , Guilhem Lavaux

The rapid growth of earth observation systems calls for a scalable approach to interpolate remote-sensing observations. These methods in principle, should acquire more information about the observed field as data grows. Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Weibin Chen , Azhir Mahmood , Michel Tsamados , So Takao

Current models of galaxy evolution are constrained by the analysis of catalogs containing the flux and size of galaxies extracted from multiband deep fields carrying inevitable observational and extraction-related biases which can be highly…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2022-08-30 Florian Livet , Tom Charnock , Damien Le Borgne , Valérie de Lapparent

Variational inference with a factorized Gaussian posterior estimate is a widely used approach for learning parameters and hidden variables. Empirically, a regularizing effect can be observed that is poorly understood. In this work, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Julius Kunze , Louis Kirsch , Hippolyt Ritter , David Barber

Model selection in clustering requires (i) to specify a suitable clustering principle and (ii) to control the model order complexity by choosing an appropriate number of clusters depending on the noise level in the data. We advocate an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-03 Joachim M. Buhmann

We extend the concept of quintessence to a flat nonminimally coupled scalar - tensor theories of gravity. By means of Noether's symmetries for the cosmological pointlike Lagrangian L, it is possible to exhibit exact solutions for a class of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-09-25 R. de Ritis , A. A. Marino , C. Rubano , P. Scudellaro

Rigorously quantifying the information in high contrast imaging data is important for informing follow-up strategies to confirm the substellar nature of a point source, constraining theoretical models of planet-disk interactions, and…

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